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#1133USNYSE

XOM

ExxonMobil

$151.71USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Fair value$103.85
Target$112.99
Loss chance59%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeMega cap
SectorEnergy
Dividend2.78%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for XOM. Latest close $151.71.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Energy median (n=69)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    47
    Average
    Energy median (n=69) 51
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    36
    Weak
    Energy median (n=69) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    21
    Poor
    Energy median (n=69) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    50
    Average
    Energy median (n=69) 56
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    37
    Weak
    Energy median (n=69) 39
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    54
    Average
    Energy median (n=69) 54
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    63
    Strong
    Energy median (n=69) 59
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    88
    Exceptional
    Energy median (n=69) 58
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what XOMshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest XOM is trading above fair value
Today's price
$151.71
Median fair price
$103.85
-32% vs today's price
Of 5 methods:5 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $112.99, about 26% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $104.97, about 31% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $103.85, about 32% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $97.28, about 36% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $66.54, about 56% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$103.85
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-46.1%
Max (ex-outliers)
$112.99
Tangible BVPS
$61.37

Median of all applicable methods (current price $151.71). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$628.83B
Revenue (TTM)$334.25B
Net income (TTM)$26.20B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$47.72B
CapEx (TTM)$28.93B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$18.79B
Total assets$464.41B
Total liabilities$203.41B
Stockholders' equity$254.38B
Cash & equivalents$8.44B
Shares outstanding4.14B
EPS (basic)$6.32
EPS (diluted)$6.32
P/E ratio (TTM)24.00

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-05-04
Latest period end
2026-03-31
Filing lag
78 days
Missing metrics
8(gross_profit, operating_income, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, accounts_payable, ebitda, goodwill, intangibles_net)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.