#30Information Technology· Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

WDCHold

Western Digital

$482.02USD

Composite Score64.8Strong

−90

Margin of safety−90%Expensive

Fair value$253.35

Target$733.20

Loss chance62%

Price (1y)

Loading price history…

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what WDC should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued

Models suggest WDC is trading above fair value

Today's price

$482.02

Median fair price

$253.35

-47% vs today

Of 3 methods:1 say cheap2 say pricey(1 outlier excluded)

P/E multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $733.20, about 52% above today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $272.84, about 43% below today
EV/EBITDAOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $233.86, about 51% below today
DCF (2-stage)Outlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $25.20 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair

$253.35

Margin of safety

-90.3%

Max (ex-outliers)

$733.20

Tangible BVPS

$15.33

Method	Value
Graham (defensive)	skipped
P/E multiples(vs sector peers)	$733.20
P/B multiples(vs sector peers)	$272.84
EV/EBITDA(vs sub industry peers)	$233.86
Residual Income	skipped
DCF (2-stage)	$25.20

extreme dcf estimate
value trap risk
beneish high

Median of all applicable methods (current price $482.02). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Information Technology median (n=73)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
77
Strong
Value
Price vs fundamentals
33
Weak
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
57
Decent
Momentum
Recent price strength
93
Strong
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
76
Strong
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
73
Strong
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
70
Decent
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
53
Decent

0305070100

Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$166.14B
Revenue (TTM)	$11.78B
Net income (TTM)	$6.51B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$3.29B
CapEx (TTM)	$381.00M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$2.90B
Total assets	$15.04B
Total liabilities	$5.37B
Stockholders' equity	$9.68B
Cash & equivalents	$2.05B
Shares outstanding	344.68M
EPS (basic)	$17.80
EPS (diluted)	$16.05
P/E ratio (TTM)	25.52

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-05-01
Latest period end: 2026-04-23
Filing lag: 15 days
Missing metrics: 1(research_and_development)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.