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#34Health Care· Health Care Facilities

UHSStrong Buy

Universal Health Services

$168.64USD
64
Composite Score63.9Strong
+32
Margin of safety+32%Undervalued
Fair value$248.07
Target$645.33
Loss chance24%

Price (1y)

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Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what UHS should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks undervalued
Models suggest UHS is trading below fair value
Today's price
$168.64
Median fair price
$248.07
+47% vs today
Of 5 methods:3 say cheap2 say pricey(1 outlier excluded)
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $645.33, about 283% above today
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $595.73, about 253% above today
  • P/B multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $351.97, about 109% above today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $144.18, about 15% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $73.40, about 56% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $23.45 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$248.07
Margin of safety
+32.0%
Max (ex-outliers)
$645.33
Tangible BVPS
$55.27
MethodValue
Graham (defensive)$144.18
P/E multiples(vs sector peers)$595.73
P/B multiples(vs sector peers)$351.97
EV/EBITDA(vs sector peers)$645.33
Residual Income$73.40
DCF (2-stage)$23.45
  • goodwill heavy
  • extreme dcf estimate

Median of all applicable methods (current price $168.64). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Health Care median (n=59)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    64
    Decent
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    91
    Strong
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    83
    Strong
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    14
    Poor
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    56
    Decent
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    53
    Decent
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    65
    Decent
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    39
    Weak
0305070100
Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$10.40B
Revenue (TTM)$17.76B
Net income (TTM)$1.55B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$1.91B
CapEx (TTM)$993.28M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$912.69M
Total assets$15.68B
Total liabilitiesN/A
Stockholders' equity$7.46B
Cash & equivalents$119.03M
Shares outstanding61.67M
EPS (basic)$5.71
EPS (diluted)$5.65
P/E ratio (TTM)6.72

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-05-07
Latest period end
2026-03-31
Filing lag
9 days
Missing metrics
6(total_liabilities, gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, sga_expense, inventory)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.