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#138USNASDAQ

UAL

United Airlines Holdings

$117.70USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Fair value$207.56
Target$367.23
Loss chance19%Low

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorIndustrials
Dividend
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for UAL. Latest close $117.70.

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Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Industrials median (n=257)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    59
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    89
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    75
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    65
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=257) 56
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    31
    Weak
    Industrials median (n=257) 59
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    40
    Average
    Industrials median (n=257) 49
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    36
    Weak
    Industrials median (n=257) 45
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    42
    Average
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what UALshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks undervalued
Models suggest UAL is trading below fair value
Today's price
$117.70
Median fair price
$207.56
+76% vs today's price
Of 5 methods:3 say cheap2 say pricey
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $367.23, about 212% above today
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $298.43, about 154% above today
  • P/B multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $207.56, about 76% above today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $77.85, about 34% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $56.78, about 52% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$207.56
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
+43.3%
Max (ex-outliers)
$367.23
Tangible BVPS
$29.35

Median of all applicable methods (current price $117.70). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$38.20B
Revenue (TTM)$62.90B
Net income (TTM)$3.50B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$8.91B
CapEx (TTM)$6.37B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$2.54B
Total assets$84.57B
Total liabilitiesN/A
Stockholders' equity$16.70B
Cash & equivalents$10.17B
Shares outstanding324.58M
EPS (basic)$10.77
EPS (diluted)$10.77
P/E ratio (TTM)10.92

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-07-16
Latest period end
2026-07-09
Filing lag
5 days
Missing metrics
7(total_liabilities, gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, sga_expense, dividends_paid, accounts_receivable)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.