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#88USNYSE

TRV

The Travelers Companies

$371.68USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Fair value$264.55
Target$405.29
Loss chance46%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorFinancials
Dividend1.35%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for TRV. Latest close $371.68.

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Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Financials median (n=258)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    66
    Strong
    Financials median (n=258) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    56
    Strong
    Financials median (n=258) 52
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    74
    Exceptional
    Financials median (n=258) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    82
    Exceptional
    Financials median (n=258) 59
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    57
    Strong
    Financials median (n=258) 54
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    53
    Average
    Financials median (n=258) 51
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    54
    Average
    Financials median (n=258) 47
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    95
    Exceptional
    Financials median (n=258) 61
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what TRV should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest TRV is trading above fair value
Today's price
$371.68
Median fair price
$264.55
-29% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:1 say fair3 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesFair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $405.29, about 9% above today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $276.63, about 26% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $252.48, about 32% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $195.39, about 47% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$264.55
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-40.5%
Max (ex-outliers)
$405.29
Tangible BVPS
$137.77

Median of all applicable methods (current price $371.68). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$77.52B
Revenue (TTM)$48.98B
Net income (TTM)$8.30B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$11.03B
CapEx (TTM)N/A
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapExN/A
Total assets$143.58B
Total liabilities$110.46B
Stockholders' equity$33.12B
Cash & equivalents$621.00M
Shares outstanding208.58M
EPS (basic)$39.81
EPS (diluted)$39.81
P/E ratio (TTM)9.34

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-07-17
Latest period end
2026-07-10
Filing lag
89 days
Missing metrics
13(capex, free_cash_flow, gross_profit, operating_income, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, current_assets, current_liabilities, inventory, accounts_receivable, accounts_payable, ebitda, property_plant_equipment)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.