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#47USNYSEMid-cap

THG

Hanover Insurance

$231.68USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Fair value$169.76
Target$226.06
Loss chance44%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeMid cap
SectorFinancials
Dividend1.64%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for THG. Latest close $231.68.

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Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Financials median (n=257)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    62
    Strong
    Financials median (n=257) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    72
    Exceptional
    Financials median (n=257) 52
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    72
    Exceptional
    Financials median (n=257) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    83
    Exceptional
    Financials median (n=257) 63
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    62
    Strong
    Financials median (n=257) 55
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    42
    Average
    Financials median (n=257) 51
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    56
    Strong
    Financials median (n=257) 56
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    91
    Exceptional
    Financials median (n=257) 63
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Recent regulatory events

  • Going-concern disclosure (10-K)Annotate

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what THG should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest THG is trading above fair value
Today's price
$231.68
Median fair price
$169.76
-27% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:1 say fair3 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesFair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $226.06, about 2% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $187.58, about 19% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $151.95, about 34% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $115.21, about 50% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$169.76
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-36.5%
Max (ex-outliers)
$226.06
Tangible BVPS
$99.82

Median of all applicable methods (current price $231.68). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$8.07B
Revenue (TTM)$6.76B
Net income (TTM)$755.60M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$1.26B
CapEx (TTM)$10.60M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$1.25B
Total assets$16.86B
Total liabilities$13.19B
Stockholders' equity$3.67B
Cash & equivalents$266.10M
Shares outstanding34.82M
EPS (basic)$21.70
EPS (diluted)$21.70
P/E ratio (TTM)10.68

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-07-29
Latest period end
2026-07-27
Filing lag
38 days
Missing metrics
12(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, sga_expense, depreciation_and_amortization, current_assets, current_liabilities, inventory, accounts_receivable, accounts_payable, ebitda, property_plant_equipment)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.