#314USNASDAQ

STLD

Steel Dynamics

$246.03USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Composite Score58.3Strong

≤−99

Margin of safety−107%Expensive

Fair value$119.05

Target$254.56

Loss chance56%Neutral

SizeLarge cap

SectorMaterials

Dividend0.86%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Materials median (n=77)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
72
Exceptional
Materials median (n=77) 54
Value
Price vs fundamentals
42
Average
Materials median (n=77) 52
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
28
Weak
Materials median (n=77) 47
Momentum
Recent price strength
63
Strong
Materials median (n=77) 43
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
78
Exceptional
Materials median (n=77) 52
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
64
Strong
Materials median (n=77) 56
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
57
Strong
Materials median (n=77) 52
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
74
Exceptional
Materials median (n=77) 46

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

Low

Manipulation index

5/100

Composite penalty: −0.50 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)

Fired components (1)

Accruals momentum (Δ TATA > 0.05 over 3y)[accruals_momentum_high]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what STLD should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued

Models suggest STLD is far above estimated fair value

Today's price

$246.03

Median fair price

$119.05

-52% vs today's price

Of 6 methods:2 say fair4 say pricey

P/E multiplesFair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $254.56, about 3% above today
EV/EBITDAFair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $224.08, about 9% below today
Graham (defensive)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $121.06, about 51% below today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $117.04, about 52% below today
DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $112.64, about 54% below today
Residual IncomeOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $86.53, about 65% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $119.05
Margin of safety(vs fair value): < −99%
Max (ex-outliers): $254.56
Tangible BVPS: $60.19

Accruals momentum

Median of all applicable methods (current price $246.03). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$35.26B
Revenue (TTM)	$20.54B
Net income (TTM)	$1.61B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$1.57B
CapEx (TTM)	$616.01M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$955.56M
Total assets	$17.11B
Total liabilities	$7.75B
Stockholders' equity	$9.42B
Cash & equivalents	$567.71M
Shares outstanding	143.33M
EPS (basic)	$11.21
EPS (diluted)	$11.21
P/E ratio (TTM)	21.94

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-07-28
Latest period end: 2026-07-23
Filing lag: 39 days
Missing metrics: 1(research_and_development)