#44USNYSEMid-cap

SON

Sonoco

$54.71USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Composite Score66.9Strong

+58

Margin of safety+58%Cheap

Fair value$129.85

Target$207.94

Loss chance17%Low

SizeMid cap

SectorMaterials

Dividend3.96%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Materials median (n=78)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
76
Exceptional
Materials median (n=78) 52
Value
Price vs fundamentals
79
Exceptional
Materials median (n=78) 52
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
88
Exceptional
Materials median (n=78) 45
Momentum
Recent price strength
50
Average
Materials median (n=78) 47
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
24
Poor
Materials median (n=78) 53
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
60
Strong
Materials median (n=78) 53
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
55
Strong
Materials median (n=78) 47
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
59
Strong
Materials median (n=78) 46

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

1 active

Rank gates

Sloan accruals — top decile[sloan_accruals_top_decile]Within-sector top decile of accruals / assets (Sloan 1996).

These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.

Manipulation index

Moderate

23/100

Composite penalty: −2.30 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)

Also fired — not rank-gating (2)

Restatement history (10-K/A, 5y)[restatement_history]
Beneish M-score warning band[beneish_high]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what SONshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks undervalued

Models suggest SON is trading below fair value

Today's price

$54.71

Median fair price

$129.85

+137% vs today's price

Of 4 methods:3 say cheap1 say pricey

P/E multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $207.94, about 280% above today
EV/EBITDAUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $165.42, about 202% above today
P/B multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $94.27, about 72% above today
DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $21.31, about 61% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $129.85
Margin of safety(vs fair value): +57.9%
Max (ex-outliers): $207.94
Tangible BVPS: —

Beneish M-score (warning band)
Restatement history

Median of all applicable methods (current price $54.71). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$5.41B
Revenue (TTM)	$7.49B
Net income (TTM)	$1.02B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$529.95M
CapEx (TTM)	$313.44M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$216.50M
Total assets	$11.07B
Total liabilities	$7.48B
Stockholders' equity	$3.57B
Cash & equivalents	$224.48M
Shares outstanding	98.87M
EPS (basic)	$10.28
EPS (diluted)	$10.28
P/E ratio (TTM)	5.32

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-04-28
Latest period end: 2026-04-17
Filing lag: 84 days
Missing metrics: 1(research_and_development)