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#47USNYSE

RHP

Ryman Hospitality Properties

$122.45USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Fair value$39.23
Target$163.19
Loss chance65%Moderate-high

Company attributes

SizeMid cap
SectorReal Estate
Dividend3.92%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for RHP. Latest close $122.45.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Real Estate median (n=104)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    97
    Exceptional
    Real Estate median (n=104) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    63
    Strong
    Real Estate median (n=104) 48
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    55
    Strong
    Real Estate median (n=104) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    71
    Exceptional
    Real Estate median (n=104) 47
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    7
    Poor
    Real Estate median (n=104) 27
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    53
    Average
    Real Estate median (n=104) 52
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    69
    Strong
    Real Estate median (n=104) 52
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    80
    Exceptional
    Real Estate median (n=104) 61
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

1 active
Rank gates
  • Altman financial distress[altman_distress]Altman Z″ below 1.10 — financial-distress zone (Altman 1968).

These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what RHP should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued
Models suggest RHP is far above estimated fair value
Today's price
$122.45
Median fair price
$39.23
-68% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:1 say cheap3 say pricey(2 outliers excluded)
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $163.19, about 33% above today
  • P/E multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $107.67, about 12% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $46.61, about 62% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $31.85, about 74% below today
  • P/B multiplesOutlier
    estimate looks unreliable — estimates $13.94 — likely unreliable
  • DCF (2-stage)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliable — estimates $11.83 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$39.23
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
< −99%
Max (ex-outliers)
$163.19
Tangible BVPS
$10.01
  • Extreme P/B estimate
  • Extreme DCF estimate
  • Cross-source price disagreement

Median of all applicable methods (current price $122.45). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$7.73B
Revenue (TTM)$2.74B
Net income (TTM)$279.90M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$691.85M
CapEx (TTM)$61.42M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$630.43M
Total assets$6.19B
Total liabilities$4.96B
Stockholders' equity$748.32M
Cash & equivalents$366.13M
Shares outstanding63.12M
EPS (basic)$4.43
EPS (diluted)$4.43
P/E ratio (TTM)27.61

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-08-07
Latest period end
2026-07-31
Filing lag
68 days
Missing metrics
5(gross_profit, research_and_development, accounts_payable, short_term_debt, goodwill)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.