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#10USNYSE

PAYC

Paycom

$235.01USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Fair value$65.39
Target$244.88
Loss chance51%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorIndustrials
Dividend0.64%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for PAYC. Latest close $235.01.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Industrials median (n=263)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    95
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    49
    Average
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    86
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    84
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 43
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    55
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=263) 58
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    75
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    66
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=263) 48
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    42
    Average
    Industrials median (n=263) 48
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what PAYC should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued
Models suggest PAYC is far above estimated fair value
Today's price
$235.01
Median fair price
$65.39
-72% vs today's price
Of 3 methods:2 say fair1 say pricey(3 outliers excluded)
  • P/E multiplesFair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $244.88, about 4% above today
  • EV/EBITDAFair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $244.15, about 4% above today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $87.63, about 63% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliable — estimates $43.15 — likely unreliable
  • P/B multiplesOutlier
    estimate looks unreliable — estimates $36.97 — likely unreliable
  • Residual IncomeOutlier
    estimate looks unreliable — estimates $23.74 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$65.39
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
< −99%
Max (ex-outliers)
$244.88
Tangible BVPS
$10.85
  • Extreme Graham estimate
  • Extreme P/B estimate
  • Extreme Residual-Income estimate
  • Majority of methods extreme

Median of all applicable methods (current price $235.01). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$10.59B
Revenue (TTM)$2.14B
Net income (TTM)$487.60M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$801.50M
CapEx (TTM)$226.40M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$575.10M
Total assets$5.20B
Total liabilities$4.63B
Stockholders' equity$571.50M
Cash & equivalents$198.00M
Shares outstanding45.07M
EPS (basic)$10.82
EPS (diluted)$10.82
P/E ratio (TTM)21.72

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-08-06
Latest period end
2026-07-28
Filing lag
69 days
Missing metrics
none

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.