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#30USNYSE

PAYC

Paycom

$144.22USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Fair value$70.13
Target$273.15
Loss chance51%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeMid cap
SectorIndustrials
Dividend1.00%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for PAYC. Latest close $144.22.

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Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Industrials median (n=257)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    94
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    69
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    86
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    16
    Poor
    Industrials median (n=257) 56
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    56
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=257) 59
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    77
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=257) 49
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    59
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=257) 45
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    24
    Poor
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what PAYCshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued
Models suggest PAYC is far above estimated fair value
Today's price
$144.22
Median fair price
$70.13
-51% vs today's price
Of 6 methods:2 say cheap4 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $273.15, about 89% above today
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $261.86, about 82% above today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $81.99, about 43% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $58.28, about 60% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $51.14, about 65% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $33.34, about 77% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$70.13
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
< −99%
Max (ex-outliers)
$273.15
Tangible BVPS
$15.24

Median of all applicable methods (current price $144.22). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$6.87B
Revenue (TTM)$2.09B
Net income (TTM)$469.70M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$710.20M
CapEx (TTM)$264.40M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$445.80M
Total assets$4.82B
Total liabilities$4.01B
Stockholders' equity$811.70M
Cash & equivalents$153.90M
Shares outstanding47.63M
EPS (basic)$9.86
EPS (diluted)$9.86
P/E ratio (TTM)14.63

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-05-07
Latest period end
2026-04-28
Filing lag
75 days
Missing metrics
none

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.