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#839USNASDAQ

ODFL

Old Dominion

$185.75USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Fair value$59.45
Target$252.03
Loss chance61%Moderate-high

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorIndustrials
Dividend0.62%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for ODFL. Latest close $185.75.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Industrials median (n=263)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    72
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    19
    Poor
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    35
    Weak
    Industrials median (n=263) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    38
    Weak
    Industrials median (n=263) 48
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    79
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 57
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    75
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    25
    Weak
    Industrials median (n=263) 41
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    46
    Average
    Industrials median (n=263) 48
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what ODFL should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued
Models suggest ODFL is far above estimated fair value
Today's price
$185.75
Median fair price
$59.45
-68% vs today's price
Of 5 methods:1 say cheap4 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $252.03, about 36% above today
  • EV/EBITDAOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $133.78, about 28% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $59.45, about 68% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $50.57, about 73% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $45.71, about 75% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$59.45
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
< −99%
Max (ex-outliers)
$252.03
Tangible BVPS
$21.84

Median of all applicable methods (current price $185.75). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$38.52B
Revenue (TTM)$5.60B
Net income (TTM)$1.09B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$1.39B
CapEx (TTM)$279.33M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$1.11B
Total assets$5.74B
Total liabilities$1.19B
Stockholders' equity$4.55B
Cash & equivalents$283.94M
Shares outstanding207.36M
EPS (basic)$5.25
EPS (diluted)$5.25
P/E ratio (TTM)35.36

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-08-05
Latest period end
2026-07-31
Filing lag
31 days
Missing metrics
7(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, sga_expense, interest_expense, inventory, intangibles_net)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.