NRG
NRG Energy
Data as of 2026-09-05
Company attributes
Price
Interactive 5-year price history chart for NRG. Latest close $111.84.
Pillar breakdown
0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)
- QualityProfit margins & asset efficiency72ExceptionalUtilities median (n=59) 52
- ValuePrice vs fundamentals28WeakUtilities median (n=59) 48
- GrowthRevenue & earnings trajectory47AverageUtilities median (n=59) 51
- MomentumRecent price strength9PoorUtilities median (n=59) 43
- HealthBalance sheet & solvency11PoorUtilities median (n=59) 15
- ProfitabilityROE, ROA, ROIC38WeakUtilities median (n=59) 51
- TechnicalTrend & volatility signals40AverageUtilities median (n=59) 53
- RiskVolatility & drawdown profile38WeakUtilities median (n=59) 72
Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).
Risk Summary
2 active- Altman financial distress[altman_distress]Altman Z″ below 1.10 — financial-distress zone (Altman 1968).
- Net share issuance — top decile[net_issuance_top_decile]Top-decile net issuance over the trailing year (Pontiff-Woodgate 2008 / Daniel-Titman 2006).
These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.
Fair price check
3 different valuation methods each estimate what NRG should be worth, then we compare to today's price.
- EV/EBITDAOvervaluedthinks it's expensive — estimates $95.06, about 15% below today
- P/E multiplesOvervaluedthinks it's expensive — estimates $82.46, about 26% below today
- P/B multiplesOvervaluedthinks it's expensive — estimates $45.78, about 59% below today
How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.
Fair price ensemble
- Median fair
- $82.46
- Margin of safety(vs fair value)
- -35.6%
- Max (ex-outliers)
- $95.06
- Tangible BVPS
- —
- Cross-source price disagreement
Median of all applicable methods (current price $111.84). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.
Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.
Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above
Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $23.51B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $33.13B |
| Net income (TTM) | $849.00M |
| Operating cash flow (TTM) | $1.55B |
| CapEx (TTM) | $1.21B |
| Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx | $348.00M |
| Total assets | $39.94B |
| Total liabilities | $35.09B |
| Stockholders' equity | $4.86B |
| Cash & equivalents | $162.00M |
| Shares outstanding | 210.21M |
| EPS (basic) | $4.04 |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.04 |
| P/E ratio (TTM) | 27.69 |
TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).
Data quality
- Latest filed date
- 2026-08-04
- Latest period end
- 2026-07-31
- Filing lag
- 32 days
- Missing metrics
- 4(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, dividends_paid)
Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.