NRG
NRG Energy
Data as of 2026-07-21
Company attributes
Price
Interactive 5-year price history chart for NRG. Latest close $131.60.
Pillar breakdown
0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)
- QualityProfit margins & asset efficiency30WeakUtilities median (n=59) 52
- ValuePrice vs fundamentals26WeakUtilities median (n=59) 47
- GrowthRevenue & earnings trajectory36WeakUtilities median (n=59) 51
- MomentumRecent price strength22PoorUtilities median (n=59) 53
- HealthBalance sheet & solvency9PoorUtilities median (n=59) 16
- ProfitabilityROE, ROA, ROIC36WeakUtilities median (n=59) 51
- TechnicalTrend & volatility signals19PoorUtilities median (n=59) 51
- RiskVolatility & drawdown profile44AverageUtilities median (n=59) 73
Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).
Risk Summary
2 active- Altman financial distress[altman_distress]Altman Z″ below 1.10 — financial-distress zone (Altman 1968).
- Net share issuance — top decile[net_issuance_top_decile]Top-decile net issuance over the trailing year (Pontiff-Woodgate 2008 / Daniel-Titman 2006).
These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.
Fair price check
3 different valuation methods each estimate what NRGshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.
- P/B multiplesOvervaluedthinks it's expensive — estimates $46.65, about 65% below today
- P/E multiplesOutlierestimate looks unreliable — estimates $22.73 — likely unreliable
- EV/EBITDAOutlierestimate looks unreliable — estimates $20.96 — likely unreliable
How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.
Fair price ensemble
- Median fair
- $22.73
- Margin of safety(vs fair value)
- < −99%
- Max (ex-outliers)
- $46.65
- Tangible BVPS
- —
- Extreme P/E estimate
- Extreme EV/EBITDA estimate
- Majority of methods extreme
Median of all applicable methods (current price $131.60). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.
Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.
Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above
Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $27.77B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $32.38B |
| Net income (TTM) | $239.00M |
| Operating cash flow (TTM) | $889.00M |
| CapEx (TTM) | $1.25B |
| Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx | $-358.00M |
| Total assets | $40.05B |
| Total liabilities | $35.18B |
| Stockholders' equity | $4.87B |
| Cash & equivalents | $178.00M |
| Shares outstanding | 210.99M |
| EPS (basic) | $1.13 |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.13 |
| P/E ratio (TTM) | 116.17 |
TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).
Data quality
- Latest filed date
- 2026-05-06
- Latest period end
- 2026-04-30
- Filing lag
- 76 days
- Missing metrics
- 3(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development)
Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.