#673USNASDAQ

NFLX

Netflix

$82.67USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Composite Score51.6Average

−7

Margin of safety−7%Fair value

Fair value$77.28

Target$181.50

Loss chance42%Neutral

SizeMega cap

SectorCommunication Services

Dividend—

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Communication Services median (n=50)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
85
Exceptional
Communication Services median (n=50) 52
Value
Price vs fundamentals
19
Poor
Communication Services median (n=50) 53
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
69
Strong
Communication Services median (n=50) 52
Momentum
Recent price strength
8
Poor
Communication Services median (n=50) 41
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
57
Strong
Communication Services median (n=50) 40
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
74
Exceptional
Communication Services median (n=50) 51
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
62
Strong
Communication Services median (n=50) 60
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
34
Weak
Communication Services median (n=50) 43

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

Low

Manipulation index

3/100

Composite penalty: −0.30 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)

Fired components (1)

C-suite unusual selling (Jeng-Metrick-Zeckhauser 2003)[c_suite_unusual_sell]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what NFLX should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Near fair value

Models suggest NFLX is priced roughly in line

Today's price

$82.67

Median fair price

$77.28

-7% vs today's price

Of 4 methods:1 say cheap1 say fair2 say pricey

P/E multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $181.50, about 120% above today
EV/EBITDAFair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $84.78, about 3% above today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $69.79, about 16% below today
DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $18.15, about 78% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $77.28
Margin of safety(vs fair value): -7.0%
Max (ex-outliers): $181.50
Tangible BVPS: —

Cross-source price disagreement
C-suite unusual selling

Median of all applicable methods (current price $82.67). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$344.23B
Revenue (TTM)	$48.37B
Net income (TTM)	$13.65B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$11.97B
CapEx (TTM)	$818.83M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$11.15B
Total assets	$58.45B
Total liabilities	$28.30B
Stockholders' equity	$30.15B
Cash & equivalents	$9.10B
Shares outstanding	4.16B
EPS (basic)	$3.28
EPS (diluted)	$3.28
P/E ratio (TTM)	25.22

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-07-17
Latest period end: 2026-06-30
Filing lag: 50 days
Missing metrics: 5(gross_profit, dividends_paid, inventory, accounts_receivable, goodwill)