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#33Materials· Gold

NEMBuy

Newmont

$109.06USD
64
Composite Score64.1Strong
−18
Margin of safety−18%Overvalued
Fair value$92.36
Target$203.30
Loss chance41%

Price (1y)

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Fair price check

3 different valuation methods each estimate what NEM should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest NEM is trading above fair value
Today's price
$109.06
Median fair price
$92.36
-15% vs today
Of 3 methods:1 say cheap2 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $203.30, about 86% above today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $92.36, about 15% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $37.87, about 65% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$92.36
Margin of safety
-18.1%
Max (ex-outliers)
$203.30
Tangible BVPS
$30.17
MethodValue
Graham (defensive)$37.87
P/E multiples(vs sector peers)$203.30
P/B multiples(vs sector peers)$92.36
EV/EBITDAskipped
Residual Incomeskipped
DCF (2-stage)skipped
  • value trap risk
  • restatement history

Median of all applicable methods (current price $109.06). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Materials median (n=26)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    70
    Strong
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    56
    Decent
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    74
    Strong
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    61
    Decent
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    71
    Strong
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    64
    Decent
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    48
    Weak
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    51
    Decent
0305070100
Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$116.43B
Revenue (TTM)$24.97B
Net income (TTM)$8.59B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$12.09B
CapEx (TTM)$2.85B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$9.24B
Total assets$57.67B
Total liabilities$22.57B
Stockholders' equity$34.93B
Cash & equivalents$8.78B
Shares outstanding1.07B
EPS (basic)$3.01
EPS (diluted)$3.00
P/E ratio (TTM)13.55

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-04-23
Latest period end
2026-04-16
Filing lag
23 days
Missing metrics
5(gross_profit, operating_income, cost_of_revenue, interest_expense, ebitda)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.