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#20USNASDAQMid-cap

NBIX

Neurocrine Biosciences

$179.05USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Fair value$93.80
Target$188.11
Loss chance50%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorHealth Care
Dividend
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for NBIX. Latest close $179.05.

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Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Health Care median (n=166)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    80
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=166) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    42
    Average
    Health Care median (n=166) 52
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    86
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=166) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    78
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=166) 49
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    73
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=166) 57
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    85
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=166) 48
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    59
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=166) 56
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    62
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=166) 46
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what NBIXshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest NBIX is trading above fair value
Today's price
$179.05
Median fair price
$93.80
-48% vs today's price
Of 6 methods:2 say fair4 say pricey
  • EV/EBITDAFair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $188.11, about 5% above today
  • P/B multiplesFair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $172.85, about 3% below today
  • P/E multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $136.44, about 24% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $51.17, about 71% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $49.14, about 73% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $37.48, about 79% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$93.80
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-90.9%
Max (ex-outliers)
$188.11
Tangible BVPS
$33.48

Median of all applicable methods (current price $179.05). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$18.00B
Revenue (TTM)$3.10B
Net income (TTM)$668.60M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$863.70M
CapEx (TTM)$45.50M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$818.20M
Total assets$4.91B
Total liabilities$1.50B
Stockholders' equity$3.41B
Cash & equivalents$266.50M
Shares outstanding100.55M
EPS (basic)$6.65
EPS (diluted)$6.65
P/E ratio (TTM)26.93

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-05-05
Latest period end
2026-04-28
Filing lag
77 days
Missing metrics
6(gross_profit, research_and_development, interest_expense, dividends_paid, long_term_debt, short_term_debt)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.