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#44USNASDAQMid-cap

NBIX

Neurocrine Biosciences

$141.37USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Fair value$114.23
Target$229.83
Loss chance43%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorHealth Care
DividendNone
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for NBIX. Latest close $141.37.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Health Care median (n=163)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    80
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 51
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    58
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=163) 52
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    85
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    47
    Average
    Health Care median (n=163) 66
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    64
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=163) 56
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    84
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 49
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    50
    Average
    Health Care median (n=163) 57
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    48
    Average
    Health Care median (n=163) 47
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what NBIX should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest NBIX is trading above fair value
Today's price
$141.37
Median fair price
$114.23
-19% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:3 say cheap1 say pricey(2 outliers excluded)
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $229.83, about 63% above today
  • P/B multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $209.41, about 48% above today
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $179.21, about 27% above today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $49.26, about 65% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliable — estimates $27.28 — likely unreliable
  • Residual IncomeOutlier
    estimate looks unreliable — estimates $10.65 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$114.23
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-23.8%
Max (ex-outliers)
$229.83
Tangible BVPS
$9.51
  • Goodwill-heavy balance sheet
  • Extreme Graham estimate
  • Extreme Residual-Income estimate

Median of all applicable methods (current price $141.37). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$14.37B
Revenue (TTM)$3.37B
Net income (TTM)$705.50M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$898.10M
CapEx (TTM)$42.60M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$855.50M
Total assets$5.36B
Total liabilities$1.67B
Stockholders' equity$3.69B
Cash & equivalents$332.40M
Shares outstanding101.65M
EPS (basic)$6.94
EPS (diluted)$6.94
P/E ratio (TTM)20.37

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-07-31
Latest period end
2026-07-22
Filing lag
75 days
Missing metrics
6(gross_profit, research_and_development, interest_expense, dividends_paid, long_term_debt, short_term_debt)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.