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#35USNASDAQMid-cap

NBIX

Neurocrine Biosciences

$158.35USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Fair value$119.93
Target$231.81
Loss chance45%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorHealth Care
Dividend
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for NBIX. Latest close $158.35.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Health Care median (n=163)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    80
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 51
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    55
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=163) 51
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    85
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    51
    Average
    Health Care median (n=163) 62
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    64
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=163) 56
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    83
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 49
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    73
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 62
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    54
    Average
    Health Care median (n=163) 47
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what NBIX should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest NBIX is trading above fair value
Today's price
$158.35
Median fair price
$119.93
-24% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:3 say cheap1 say pricey(2 outliers excluded)
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $231.81, about 46% above today
  • P/B multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $208.47, about 32% above today
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $190.61, about 20% above today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $49.26, about 69% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $27.28 — likely unreliable
  • Residual IncomeOutlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $10.65 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$119.93
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-32.0%
Max (ex-outliers)
$231.81
Tangible BVPS
$9.51
  • Goodwill-heavy balance sheet
  • Extreme Graham estimate
  • Extreme Residual-Income estimate

Median of all applicable methods (current price $158.35). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$16.10B
Revenue (TTM)$3.37B
Net income (TTM)$705.50M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$898.10M
CapEx (TTM)$42.60M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$855.50M
Total assets$5.36B
Total liabilities$1.67B
Stockholders' equity$3.69B
Cash & equivalents$332.40M
Shares outstanding101.65M
EPS (basic)$6.94
EPS (diluted)$6.94
P/E ratio (TTM)22.82

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-07-31
Latest period end
2026-07-22
Filing lag
36 days
Missing metrics
6(gross_profit, research_and_development, interest_expense, dividends_paid, long_term_debt, short_term_debt)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.