#14USNASDAQ

MU

Micron Technology

$970.82USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Composite Score70.8Exceptional

−61

Margin of safety−61%Expensive

Fair value$604.74

Target$2,207.36

Loss chance57%Neutral

SizeMega cap

SectorInformation Technology

Dividend0.06%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Information Technology median (n=189)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
88
Exceptional
Information Technology median (n=189) 50
Value
Price vs fundamentals
51
Average
Information Technology median (n=189) 52
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
45
Average
Information Technology median (n=189) 51
Momentum
Recent price strength
83
Exceptional
Information Technology median (n=189) 66
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
92
Exceptional
Information Technology median (n=189) 65
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
87
Exceptional
Information Technology median (n=189) 49
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
46
Average
Information Technology median (n=189) 47
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
56
Strong
Information Technology median (n=189) 40

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

1 active

Rank gates

Beneish M-score veto[beneish_manipulation_veto]Beneish M-score above −1.78 — earnings manipulation likely (Beneish 1999).

These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.

Manipulation index

Moderate

28/100

Composite penalty: −2.80 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)

Also fired — not rank-gating (2)

Accruals momentum (Δ TATA > 0.05 over 3y)[accruals_momentum_high]
Beneish M-score warning band[beneish_high]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what MUshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued

Models suggest MU is trading above fair value

Today's price

$970.82

Median fair price

$604.74

-38% vs today's price

Of 3 methods:2 say cheap1 say pricey(2 outliers excluded)

P/E multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $2207.36, about 127% above today
EV/EBITDAUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $2134.44, about 120% above today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $604.74, about 38% below today
Graham (defensive)Outlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $44.06 — likely unreliable
DCF (2-stage)Outlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $37.28 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $604.74
Margin of safety(vs fair value): -60.5%
Max (ex-outliers): $2207.36
Tangible BVPS: $87.75

Extreme Graham estimate
Extreme DCF estimate
Beneish M-score (warning band)
Accruals momentum
Value-trap risk (RIM)

Median of all applicable methods (current price $970.82). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$1.10T
Revenue (TTM)	$90.27B
Net income (TTM)	$50.47B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$51.43B
CapEx (TTM)	$25.26B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$26.17B
Total assets	$134.11B
Total liabilities	$33.39B
Stockholders' equity	$100.72B
Cash & equivalents	$25.00B
Shares outstanding	1.13B
EPS (basic)	$44.69
EPS (diluted)	$44.69
P/E ratio (TTM)	21.72

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-06-25
Latest period end: 2026-06-17
Filing lag: 26 days
Missing metrics: 1(accounts_payable)