Back to ranking
#18USNYSEMid-cap

MSA

MSA Safety

$181.99USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Fair value$129.39
Target$203.22
Loss chance44%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeMid cap
SectorIndustrials
Dividend1.19%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for MSA. Latest close $181.99.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Industrials median (n=263)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    87
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    47
    Average
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    79
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    63
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=263) 43
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    76
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 58
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    79
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    69
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=263) 48
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    58
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=263) 48
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what MSA should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest MSA is trading above fair value
Today's price
$181.99
Median fair price
$129.39
-29% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:2 say fair2 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesFair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $203.22, about 12% above today
  • EV/EBITDAFair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $177.46, about 2% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $81.32, about 55% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $41.47, about 77% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$129.39
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-40.6%
Max (ex-outliers)
$203.22
Tangible BVPS
—

Median of all applicable methods (current price $181.99). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$7.02B
Revenue (TTM)$1.95B
Net income (TTM)$314.01M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$405.88M
CapEx (TTM)$51.58M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$354.30M
Total assets$2.60B
Total liabilities$1.20B
Stockholders' equity$834.39M
Cash & equivalents$200.06M
Shares outstanding38.58M
EPS (basic)$8.14
EPS (diluted)$8.14
P/E ratio (TTM)22.36

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-07-31
Latest period end
2026-07-24
Filing lag
75 days
Missing metrics
none

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.