MPC
Marathon Petroleum
Data as of 2026-10-14
Company attributes
Price
Interactive 5-year price history chart for MPC. Latest close $458.81.
Pillar breakdown
0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)
- QualityProfit margins & asset efficiency93ExceptionalEnergy median (n=71) 53
- ValuePrice vs fundamentals65StrongEnergy median (n=71) 50
- GrowthRevenue & earnings trajectory37WeakEnergy median (n=71) 51
- MomentumRecent price strength97ExceptionalEnergy median (n=71) 73
- HealthBalance sheet & solvency52AverageEnergy median (n=71) 47
- ProfitabilityROE, ROA, ROIC54AverageEnergy median (n=71) 53
- TechnicalTrend & volatility signals68StrongEnergy median (n=71) 59
- RiskVolatility & drawdown profile81ExceptionalEnergy median (n=71) 60
Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).
Fair price check
6 different valuation methods each estimate what MPC should be worth, then we compare to today's price.
- P/E multiplesUndervaluedthinks it's a bargain — estimates $601.77, about 31% above today
- EV/EBITDAFairthinks it's fairly priced — estimates $472.49, about 3% above today
- DCF (2-stage)Overvaluedthinks it's expensive — estimates $290.60, about 37% below today
- P/B multiplesOvervaluedthinks it's expensive — estimates $143.51, about 69% below today
- Graham (defensive)Overvaluedthinks it's expensive — estimates $94.66, about 79% below today
- Residual IncomeOutlierestimate looks unreliable — estimates $48.64 — likely unreliable
How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.
Fair price ensemble
- Median fair
- $217.05
- Margin of safety(vs fair value)
- < −99%
- Max (ex-outliers)
- $601.77
- Tangible BVPS
- $25.46
- Goodwill-heavy balance sheet
- Extreme Residual-Income estimate
- Cross-source price disagreement
Median of all applicable methods (current price $458.81). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.
Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.
Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above
Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $128.85B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $153.58B |
| Net income (TTM) | $10.31B |
| Operating cash flow (TTM) | $17.13B |
| CapEx (TTM) | $4.23B |
| Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx | $12.90B |
| Total assets | $94.31B |
| Total liabilities | $68.59B |
| Stockholders' equity | $19.08B |
| Cash & equivalents | $7.77B |
| Shares outstanding | 280.82M |
| EPS (basic) | $36.72 |
| EPS (diluted) | $36.72 |
| P/E ratio (TTM) | 12.50 |
TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).
Data quality
- Latest filed date
- 2026-08-04
- Latest period end
- 2026-07-30
- Filing lag
- 71 days
- Missing metrics
- 2(gross_profit, research_and_development)
Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.