MLI
Mueller Industries
Data as of 2026-07-21
Company attributes
Price
Interactive 5-year price history chart for MLI. Latest close $62.30.
Pillar breakdown
0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)
- QualityProfit margins & asset efficiency73ExceptionalIndustrials median (n=257) 50
- ValuePrice vs fundamentals69StrongIndustrials median (n=257) 50
- GrowthRevenue & earnings trajectory44AverageIndustrials median (n=257) 50
- MomentumRecent price strength60StrongIndustrials median (n=257) 56
- HealthBalance sheet & solvency97ExceptionalIndustrials median (n=257) 59
- ProfitabilityROE, ROA, ROIC77ExceptionalIndustrials median (n=257) 49
- TechnicalTrend & volatility signals65StrongIndustrials median (n=257) 45
- RiskVolatility & drawdown profile72ExceptionalIndustrials median (n=257) 50
Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).
Risk Summary
2 active- Sloan accruals — top decile[sloan_accruals_top_decile]Within-sector top decile of accruals / assets (Sloan 1996).
- Net share issuance — top decile[net_issuance_top_decile]Top-decile net issuance over the trailing year (Pontiff-Woodgate 2008 / Daniel-Titman 2006).
These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.
- Accruals momentum (Δ TATA > 0.05 over 3y)[accruals_momentum_high]
Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.
Fair price check
5 different valuation methods each estimate what MLIshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.
- P/E multiplesUndervaluedthinks it's a bargain — estimates $111.22, about 79% above today
- EV/EBITDAUndervaluedthinks it's a bargain — estimates $98.31, about 58% above today
- P/B multiplesFairthinks it's fairly priced — estimates $59.67, about 4% below today
- Graham (defensive)Overvaluedthinks it's expensive — estimates $40.40, about 35% below today
- Residual IncomeOvervaluedthinks it's expensive — estimates $23.03, about 63% below today
How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.
Fair price ensemble
- Median fair
- $59.67
- Margin of safety(vs fair value)
- -4.4%
- Max (ex-outliers)
- $111.22
- Tangible BVPS
- $12.46
- Post-split share count adjusted
- Accruals momentum
Median of all applicable methods (current price $62.30). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.
Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.
Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above
Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $13.78B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.37B |
| Net income (TTM) | $855.69M |
| Operating cash flow (TTM) | $721.63M |
| CapEx (TTM) | $69.45M |
| Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx | $652.18M |
| Total assets | $3.94B |
| Total liabilities | $581.53M |
| Stockholders' equity | $3.33B |
| Cash & equivalents | $1.38B |
| Shares outstanding | 221.14M |
| EPS (basic) | $3.87 |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.87 |
| P/E ratio (TTM) | 16.10 |
TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).
Data quality
- Latest filed date
- 2026-04-22
- Latest period end
- 2026-04-17
- Filing lag
- 90 days
- Missing metrics
- 3(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development)
Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.