#1257USNYSE

LYB

LyondellBasell

$59.41USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Composite Score40.5Average

+35

Margin of safety+35%Undervalued

Fair value$92.07

Target$126.77

Loss chance32%Moderate-low

SizeLarge cap

SectorMaterials

Dividend4.65%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Materials median (n=76)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
21
Poor
Materials median (n=76) 53
Value
Price vs fundamentals
62
Strong
Materials median (n=76) 52
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
27
Weak
Materials median (n=76) 48
Momentum
Recent price strength
52
Average
Materials median (n=76) 49
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
43
Average
Materials median (n=76) 52
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
26
Weak
Materials median (n=76) 56
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
56
Strong
Materials median (n=76) 40
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
54
Average
Materials median (n=76) 48

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what LYB should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks undervalued

Models suggest LYB is trading below fair value

Today's price

$59.41

Median fair price

$92.07

+55% vs today's price

Of 4 methods:3 say cheap1 say pricey

DCF (2-stage)Undervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $126.77, about 113% above today
EV/EBITDAUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $104.64, about 76% above today
P/B multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $79.50, about 34% above today
Graham (defensive)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $42.87, about 28% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $92.07
Margin of safety(vs fair value): +35.5%
Max (ex-outliers): $126.77
Tangible BVPS: $29.63

Median of all applicable methods (current price $59.41). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$19.19B
Revenue (TTM)	$31.19B
Net income (TTM)	$-346.00M
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$2.97B
CapEx (TTM)	$1.40B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$1.58B
Total assets	$34.48B
Total liabilities	N/A
Stockholders' equity	$10.67B
Cash & equivalents	$2.63B
Shares outstanding	323.04M
EPS (basic)	$-1.07
EPS (diluted)	$-1.07
P/E ratio (TTM)	N/A

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-07-31
Latest period end: 2026-07-29
Filing lag: 75 days
Missing metrics: 2(total_liabilities, gross_profit)