#1449USNYSE

LYB

LyondellBasell

$61.19USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Composite Score33.6Weak

+11

Margin of safety+11%Fair value

Fair value$68.43

Target$126.89

Loss chance45%Neutral

SizeLarge cap

SectorMaterials

Dividend6.78%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Materials median (n=78)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
12
Poor
Materials median (n=78) 52
Value
Price vs fundamentals
52
Average
Materials median (n=78) 52
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
28
Weak
Materials median (n=78) 45
Momentum
Recent price strength
37
Weak
Materials median (n=78) 47
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
40
Average
Materials median (n=78) 53
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
21
Poor
Materials median (n=78) 53
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
71
Exceptional
Materials median (n=78) 47
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
41
Average
Materials median (n=78) 46

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what LYBshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Near fair value

Models suggest LYB is priced roughly in line

Today's price

$61.19

Median fair price

$68.43

+12% vs today's price

Of 4 methods:2 say cheap2 say pricey

DCF (2-stage)Undervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $126.89, about 107% above today
P/B multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $89.25, about 46% above today
EV/EBITDAOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $47.61, about 22% below today
Graham (defensive)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $41.40, about 32% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $68.43
Margin of safety(vs fair value): +10.6%
Max (ex-outliers): $126.89
Tangible BVPS: $27.63

Median of all applicable methods (current price $61.19). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$19.75B
Revenue (TTM)	$29.67B
Net income (TTM)	$-790.00M
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$2.57B
CapEx (TTM)	$1.66B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$908.00M
Total assets	$33.96B
Total liabilities	N/A
Stockholders' equity	$10.04B
Cash & equivalents	$2.63B
Shares outstanding	322.78M
EPS (basic)	$-2.45
EPS (diluted)	$-2.45
P/E ratio (TTM)	N/A

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-05-01
Latest period end: 2026-04-29
Filing lag: 81 days
Missing metrics: 2(total_liabilities, gross_profit)