#1325USNYSE

LYB

LyondellBasell

$64.76USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Composite Score38.5Weak

+32

Margin of safety+32%Undervalued

Fair value$95.14

Target$126.77

Loss chance35%Moderate-low

SizeLarge cap

SectorMaterials

Dividend4.26%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Materials median (n=77)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
20
Poor
Materials median (n=77) 54
Value
Price vs fundamentals
62
Strong
Materials median (n=77) 52
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
27
Weak
Materials median (n=77) 47
Momentum
Recent price strength
34
Weak
Materials median (n=77) 43
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
43
Average
Materials median (n=77) 52
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
26
Weak
Materials median (n=77) 56
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
70
Exceptional
Materials median (n=77) 52
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
51
Average
Materials median (n=77) 46

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what LYB should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks undervalued

Models suggest LYB is trading below fair value

Today's price

$64.76

Median fair price

$95.14

+47% vs today's price

Of 4 methods:3 say cheap1 say pricey

DCF (2-stage)Undervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $126.77, about 96% above today
EV/EBITDAUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $106.88, about 65% above today
P/B multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $83.40, about 29% above today
Graham (defensive)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $42.87, about 34% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $95.14
Margin of safety(vs fair value): +31.9%
Max (ex-outliers): $126.77
Tangible BVPS: $29.63

Median of all applicable methods (current price $64.76). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$20.92B
Revenue (TTM)	$31.19B
Net income (TTM)	$-346.00M
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$2.97B
CapEx (TTM)	$1.40B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$1.58B
Total assets	$34.48B
Total liabilities	N/A
Stockholders' equity	$10.67B
Cash & equivalents	$2.63B
Shares outstanding	323.04M
EPS (basic)	$-1.07
EPS (diluted)	$-1.07
P/E ratio (TTM)	N/A

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-07-31
Latest period end: 2026-07-29
Filing lag: 36 days
Missing metrics: 2(total_liabilities, gross_profit)