#24Consumer Discretionary· Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

LULUStrong Buy

Lululemon Athletica

$119.14USD

Composite Score65.7Strong

+40

Margin of safety+40%Undervalued

Fair value$199.16

Target$327.59

Loss chance18%

Price (1y)

Loading price history…

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what LULU should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks undervalued

Models suggest LULU is trading below fair value

Today's price

$119.14

Median fair price

$199.16

+67% vs today

Of 6 methods:3 say cheap3 say fair

EV/EBITDAUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $327.59, about 175% above today
P/E multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $308.28, about 159% above today
P/B multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $269.84, about 126% above today
Residual IncomeFair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $128.49, about 8% above today
DCF (2-stage)Fair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $124.35, about 4% above today
Graham (defensive)Fair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $113.96, about 4% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair

$199.16

Margin of safety

+40.2%

Max (ex-outliers)

$327.59

Tangible BVPS

$43.18

Method	Value
Graham (defensive)	$113.96
P/E multiples(vs sector peers)	$308.28
P/B multiples(vs sector peers)	$269.84
EV/EBITDA(vs sector peers)	$327.59
Residual Income	$128.49
DCF (2-stage)	$124.35

cross source disagreement

Median of all applicable methods (current price $119.14). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Consumer Discretionary median (n=48)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
73
Strong
Value
Price vs fundamentals
86
Strong
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
81
Strong
Momentum
Recent price strength
14
Poor
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
76
Strong
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
82
Strong
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
30
Weak
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
6
Poor

0305070100

Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$13.16B
Revenue (TTM)	$11.10B
Net income (TTM)	$1.58B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$1.60B
CapEx (TTM)	$680.80M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$921.67M
Total assets	$8.46B
Total liabilities	$3.49B
Stockholders' equity	$4.96B
Cash & equivalents	$881.32M
Shares outstanding	110.48M
EPS (basic)	$13.27
EPS (diluted)	$13.26
P/E ratio (TTM)	8.34

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-03-17
Latest period end: 2026-03-11
Filing lag: 60 days
Missing metrics: 5(research_and_development, interest_expense, dividends_paid, accounts_receivable, long_term_debt)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.