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#32USNYSE

KMT

Kennametal

$31.64USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Fair value$53.47
Target$134.67
Loss chance19%Low

Company attributes

SizeMid cap
SectorIndustrials
Dividend2.53%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for KMT. Latest close $31.64.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Industrials median (n=263)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    75
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    85
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    63
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=263) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    33
    Weak
    Industrials median (n=263) 43
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    77
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 58
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    74
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    60
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=263) 48
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    50
    Average
    Industrials median (n=263) 48
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

1 active
Rank gates
  • Sloan accruals — top decile[sloan_accruals_top_decile]Within-sector top decile of accruals / assets (Sloan 1996).

These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.

Manipulation index
Moderate
33/100
Composite penalty: −3.30 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)
Also fired — not rank-gating (2)
  • Real Earnings Management (Roychowdhury 2006)[rem_suspect]
  • Accruals momentum (Δ TATA > 0.05 over 3y)[accruals_momentum_high]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what KMT should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks undervalued
Models suggest KMT is trading below fair value
Today's price
$31.64
Median fair price
$53.47
+69% vs today's price
Of 6 methods:3 say cheap1 say fair2 say pricey
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $134.67, about 326% above today
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $124.14, about 292% above today
  • P/B multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $77.80, about 146% above today
  • Graham (defensive)Fair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $29.14, about 8% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $25.25, about 20% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $18.63, about 41% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$53.47
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
+40.8%
Max (ex-outliers)
$134.67
Tangible BVPS
$16.20
  • Real Earnings Management
  • Accruals momentum

Median of all applicable methods (current price $31.64). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$2.41B
Revenue (TTM)$2.36B
Net income (TTM)$350.41M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$-4.01M
CapEx (TTM)$76.91M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$-80.91M
Total assets$3.17B
Total liabilities$1.55B
Stockholders' equity$1.57B
Cash & equivalents$95.79M
Shares outstanding76.22M
EPS (basic)$4.60
EPS (diluted)$4.60
P/E ratio (TTM)6.88

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-08-12
Latest period end
2026-07-31
Filing lag
63 days
Missing metrics
2(research_and_development, long_term_debt)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.