#40USNASDAQ

KALU

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

$164.37USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Composite Score67.5Strong

−3

Margin of safety−3%Fair value

Fair value$160.19

Target$275.20

Loss chance37%Moderate-low

SizeMid cap

SectorMaterials

Dividend1.96%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Materials median (n=78)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
78
Exceptional
Materials median (n=78) 52
Value
Price vs fundamentals
71
Exceptional
Materials median (n=78) 52
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
58
Strong
Materials median (n=78) 45
Momentum
Recent price strength
77
Exceptional
Materials median (n=78) 47
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
63
Strong
Materials median (n=78) 53
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
49
Average
Materials median (n=78) 53
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
39
Weak
Materials median (n=78) 47
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
53
Average
Materials median (n=78) 46

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

1 active

Rank gates

Net share issuance — top decile[net_issuance_top_decile]Top-decile net issuance over the trailing year (Pontiff-Woodgate 2008 / Daniel-Titman 2006).

These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what KALUshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Near fair value

Models suggest KALU is priced roughly in line

Today's price

$164.37

Median fair price

$160.19

-3% vs today's price

Of 4 methods:1 say cheap1 say fair2 say pricey

EV/EBITDAUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $275.20, about 67% above today
P/E multiplesFair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $189.86, about 16% above today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $130.53, about 21% below today
Graham (defensive)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $68.70, about 58% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $160.19
Margin of safety(vs fair value): -2.6%
Max (ex-outliers): $275.20
Tangible BVPS: $50.10

Value-trap risk (RIM)

Median of all applicable methods (current price $164.37). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$2.69B
Revenue (TTM)	$3.70B
Net income (TTM)	$153.40M
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$219.90M
CapEx (TTM)	$118.10M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$101.80M
Total assets	$2.79B
Total liabilities	$1.91B
Stockholders' equity	$877.30M
Cash & equivalents	$30.00M
Shares outstanding	16.34M
EPS (basic)	$9.39
EPS (diluted)	$9.39
P/E ratio (TTM)	17.51

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-04-23
Latest period end: 2026-04-20
Filing lag: 89 days
Missing metrics: 3(gross_profit, research_and_development, sga_expense)