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#2Real Estate· Hotel & Resort REITs

HSTStrong Buy

Host Hotels & Resorts

$21.38USD
72
Composite Score72.2Strong
+14
Margin of safety+14%Fair value
Fair value$24.96
Target$42.51
Loss chance24%

Price (1y)

Loading price history…

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what HST should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Near fair value
Models suggest HST is priced roughly in line
Today's price
$21.38
Median fair price
$24.96
+17% vs today
Of 5 methods:2 say cheap1 say fair2 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $42.51, about 99% above today
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $42.22, about 97% above today
  • P/B multiplesFair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $24.96, about 17% above today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $15.30, about 28% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $10.49, about 51% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$24.96
Margin of safety
+14.4%
Max (ex-outliers)
$42.51
Tangible BVPS
$9.97
MethodValue
Graham (defensive)$15.30
P/E multiples(vs sector peers)$42.51
P/B multiples(vs sector peers)$24.96
EV/EBITDA(vs sector peers)$42.22
Residual Income$10.49
DCF (2-stage)skipped

Median of all applicable methods (current price $21.38). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Real Estate median (n=31)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    77
    Strong
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    90
    Strong
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    60
    Decent
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    81
    Strong
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    35
    Weak
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    57
    Decent
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    73
    Strong
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    66
    Decent
0305070100
Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$14.64B
Revenue (TTM)$6.17B
Net income (TTM)$1.03B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$1.55B
CapEx (TTM)$249.00M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$1.30B
Total assets$13.15B
Total liabilities$6.14B
Stockholders' equity$6.83B
Cash & equivalents$1.70B
Shares outstanding684.88M
EPS (basic)$0.72
EPS (diluted)$0.72
P/E ratio (TTM)14.27

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-05-08
Latest period end
2026-05-06
Filing lag
8 days
Missing metrics
11(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, current_assets, current_liabilities, inventory, accounts_receivable, accounts_payable, short_term_debt, goodwill, intangibles_net)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.