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#1026USNYSE

HP

Helmerich & Payne, Inc.

$34.59USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Fair value$27.39
Target$51.90
Loss chance52%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeMid cap
SectorEnergy
Dividend2.97%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for HP. Latest close $34.59.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Energy median (n=69)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    22
    Poor
    Energy median (n=69) 51
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    54
    Average
    Energy median (n=69) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    61
    Strong
    Energy median (n=69) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    59
    Strong
    Energy median (n=69) 56
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    42
    Average
    Energy median (n=69) 39
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    34
    Weak
    Energy median (n=69) 54
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    75
    Exceptional
    Energy median (n=69) 59
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    56
    Strong
    Energy median (n=69) 58
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what HPshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest HP is trading above fair value
Today's price
$34.59
Median fair price
$27.39
-21% vs today's price
Of 3 methods:1 say cheap1 say fair1 say pricey(1 outlier excluded)
  • P/B multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $51.90, about 50% above today
  • Graham (defensive)Fair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $32.13, about 7% below today
  • EV/EBITDAOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $22.64, about 35% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $0.07 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$27.39
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-26.3%
Max (ex-outliers)
$51.90
Tangible BVPS
$23.21
  • Extreme DCF estimate

Median of all applicable methods (current price $34.59). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$3.46B
Revenue (TTM)$4.00B
Net income (TTM)$-8.73M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$547.55M
CapEx (TTM)$291.56M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$255.99M
Total assets$6.34B
Total liabilities$2.25B
Stockholders' equity$2.95B
Cash & equivalents$177.20M
Shares outstanding99.93M
EPS (basic)$-0.09
EPS (diluted)$-0.09
P/E ratio (TTM)N/A

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-05-07
Latest period end
2026-04-30
Filing lag
75 days
Missing metrics
3(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.