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#1011USNYSE

HII

Huntington Ingalls Industries

$290.73USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Fair value$318.76
Target$613.64
Loss chance44%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorIndustrials
Dividend1.90%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for HII. Latest close $290.73.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Industrials median (n=263)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    37
    Weak
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    65
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    47
    Average
    Industrials median (n=263) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    33
    Weak
    Industrials median (n=263) 48
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    44
    Average
    Industrials median (n=263) 57
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    44
    Average
    Industrials median (n=263) 50
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    40
    Average
    Industrials median (n=263) 41
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    46
    Average
    Industrials median (n=263) 48
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

1 active
Rank gates
  • Sloan accruals — top decile[sloan_accruals_top_decile]Within-sector top decile of accruals / assets (Sloan 1996).

These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.

Manipulation index
Moderate
25/100
Composite penalty: 2.50 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)
Also fired — not rank-gating (1)
  • Accruals momentum (Δ TATA > 0.05 over 3y)[accruals_momentum_high]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what HII should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Near fair value
Models suggest HII is priced roughly in line
Today's price
$290.73
Median fair price
$318.76
+10% vs today's price
Of 5 methods:3 say cheap2 say pricey(1 outlier excluded)
  • P/B multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $613.64, about 111% above today
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $543.52, about 87% above today
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $509.80, about 75% above today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $127.71, about 56% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $71.89, about 75% below today
  • Residual IncomeOutlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $55.93 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$318.76
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
+8.8%
Max (ex-outliers)
$613.64
Tangible BVPS
$46.85
  • Goodwill-heavy balance sheet
  • Extreme Residual-Income estimate
  • Accruals momentum

Median of all applicable methods (current price $290.73). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$11.46B
Revenue (TTM)$13.19B
Net income (TTM)$661.00M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$347.00M
CapEx (TTM)$432.00M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$-85.00M
Total assets$12.68B
Total liabilities$7.37B
Stockholders' equity$5.07B
Cash & equivalents$10.00M
Shares outstanding39.40M
EPS (basic)$16.77
EPS (diluted)$16.77
P/E ratio (TTM)17.33

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-07-30
Latest period end
2026-07-24
Filing lag
37 days
Missing metrics
3(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.