#29Industrials· Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

GWWSell

W. W. Grainger

$1272.47USD

Composite Score64.9Strong

<−99

Margin of safety<−99%Expensive

Fair value$350.64

Target$1,078.83

Loss chance54%

Price (1y)

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Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what GWW should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued

Models suggest GWW is far above estimated fair value

Today's price

$1272.47

Median fair price

$350.64

-72% vs today

Of 5 methods:5 say pricey(1 outlier excluded)

EV/EBITDAOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $1078.83, about 15% below today
P/E multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $1063.78, about 16% below today
Residual IncomeOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $373.24, about 71% below today
DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $328.05, about 74% below today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $287.86, about 77% below today
Graham (defensive)Outlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $240.65 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair

$350.64

Margin of safety

< −99%

Max (ex-outliers)

$1078.83

Tangible BVPS

$69.98

Method	Value
Graham (defensive)	$240.65
P/E multiples(vs sub industry peers)	$1063.78
P/B multiples(vs sub industry peers)	$287.86
EV/EBITDA(vs sub industry peers)	$1078.83
Residual Income	$373.24
DCF (2-stage)	$328.05

extreme graham estimate

Median of all applicable methods (current price $1272.47). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Industrials median (n=79)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
92
Strong
Value
Price vs fundamentals
30
Poor
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
56
Decent
Momentum
Recent price strength
72
Strong
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
70
Decent
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
73
Strong
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
61
Decent
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
67
Decent

0305070100

Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$60.08B
Revenue (TTM)	$18.38B
Net income (TTM)	$1.89B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$2.11B
CapEx (TTM)	$729.00M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$1.38B
Total assets	$9.47B
Total liabilities	N/A
Stockholders' equity	$3.93B
Cash & equivalents	$695.00M
Shares outstanding	47.21M
EPS (basic)	$11.67
EPS (diluted)	$11.65
P/E ratio (TTM)	31.80

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-05-07
Latest period end: 2026-04-30
Filing lag: 9 days
Missing metrics: 4(total_liabilities, research_and_development, interest_expense, accounts_payable)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.