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#358USNASDAQ

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc. (Class A)

$342.48USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Fair value$141.16
Target$294.99
Loss chance62%Moderate-high

Company attributes

SizeMega cap
SectorCommunication Services
Dividend0.26%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for GOOGL. Latest close $342.48.

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Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Communication Services median (n=50)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    66
    Strong
    Communication Services median (n=50) 52
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    23
    Poor
    Communication Services median (n=50) 53
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    67
    Strong
    Communication Services median (n=50) 52
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    60
    Strong
    Communication Services median (n=50) 41
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    89
    Exceptional
    Communication Services median (n=50) 40
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    62
    Strong
    Communication Services median (n=50) 51
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    51
    Average
    Communication Services median (n=50) 60
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    67
    Strong
    Communication Services median (n=50) 43
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

2 active
Rank gates
  • Sloan accruals — top decile[sloan_accruals_top_decile]Within-sector top decile of accruals / assets (Sloan 1996).
  • Beneish M-score veto[beneish_manipulation_veto]Beneish M-score above −1.78 — earnings manipulation likely (Beneish 1999).

These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.

Manipulation index
Moderate
43/100
Composite penalty: 4.30 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)
Also fired — not rank-gating (1)
  • Beneish M-score warning band[beneish_high]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what GOOGL should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued
Models suggest GOOGL is far above estimated fair value
Today's price
$342.48
Median fair price
$141.16
-59% vs today's price
Of 6 methods:6 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $294.99, about 14% below today
  • EV/EBITDAOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $191.79, about 44% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $173.59, about 49% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $108.73, about 68% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $93.11, about 73% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $73.91, about 78% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$141.16
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
< −99%
Max (ex-outliers)
$294.99
Tangible BVPS
$46.90
  • Beneish M-score (warning band)
  • Multi-class share aggregation suspected

Median of all applicable methods (current price $342.48). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$4.19T
Revenue (TTM)$445.87B
Net income (TTM)$244.21B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$185.68B
CapEx (TTM)$132.40B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$53.27B
Total assets$921.98B
Total liabilities$281.50B
Stockholders' equity$640.48B
Cash & equivalents$55.91B
Shares outstanding12.23B
EPS (basic)$19.97
EPS (diluted)$19.97
P/E ratio (TTM)17.15

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-07-23
Latest period end
2026-06-30
Filing lag
44 days
Missing metrics
1(gross_profit)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.