Back to ranking
#43USNASDAQ

FIZZ

National Beverage Corp.

$32.15USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Fair value$17.78
Target$44.45
Loss chance51%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeMid cap
SectorConsumer Staples
DividendNone
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for FIZZ. Latest close $32.15.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Consumer Staples median (n=75)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    95
    Exceptional
    Consumer Staples median (n=75) 48
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    50
    Average
    Consumer Staples median (n=75) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    44
    Average
    Consumer Staples median (n=75) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    52
    Average
    Consumer Staples median (n=75) 50
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    79
    Exceptional
    Consumer Staples median (n=75) 41
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    85
    Exceptional
    Consumer Staples median (n=75) 50
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    58
    Strong
    Consumer Staples median (n=75) 55
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    49
    Average
    Consumer Staples median (n=75) 54
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Recent regulatory events

Latest 8-K: 2024-11-06

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what FIZZ should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest FIZZ is trading above fair value
Today's price
$32.15
Median fair price
$17.78
-45% vs today's price
Of 6 methods:1 say cheap1 say fair4 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $44.45, about 38% above today
  • EV/EBITDAFair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $34.17, about 6% above today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $22.70, about 29% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $12.85, about 60% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $11.80, about 63% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $10.76, about 67% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$17.78
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-80.9%
Max (ex-outliers)
$44.45
Tangible BVPS
$3.77
  • Restatement history

Median of all applicable methods (current price $32.15). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$3.01B
Revenue (TTM)$1.18B
Net income (TTM)$174.89M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$187.01M
CapEx (TTM)$25.12M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$161.90M
Total assets$582.27M
Total liabilities$214.56M
Stockholders' equity$367.70M
Cash & equivalents$107.10M
Shares outstanding93.62M
EPS (basic)$1.87
EPS (diluted)$1.87
P/E ratio (TTM)17.21

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-09-10
Latest period end
2026-09-08
Filing lag
34 days
Missing metrics
3(research_and_development, interest_expense, short_term_debt)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.