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#11Industrials· Construction & Engineering

FIXSell

Comfort Systems USA

$1992.74USD
67
Composite Score67.3Strong
<−99
Margin of safety<−99%Expensive
Fair value$377.71
Target$957.02
Loss chance55%

Price (1y)

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Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what FIX should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued
Models suggest FIX is far above estimated fair value
Today's price
$1992.74
Median fair price
$377.71
-81% vs today
Of 3 methods:3 say pricey(3 outliers excluded)
  • P/E multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $957.02, about 52% below today
  • EV/EBITDAOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $822.19, about 59% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $526.66, about 74% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $228.75 — likely unreliable
  • Graham (defensive)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $121.72 — likely unreliable
  • Residual IncomeOutlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $95.69 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$377.71
Margin of safety
< −99%
Max (ex-outliers)
$957.02
Tangible BVPS
$37.63
MethodValue
Graham (defensive)$121.72
P/E multiples(vs sector peers)$957.02
P/B multiples(vs sector peers)$526.66
EV/EBITDA(vs sector peers)$822.19
Residual Income$95.69
DCF (2-stage)$228.75
  • goodwill heavy
  • extreme graham estimate
  • extreme rim estimate
  • extreme dcf estimate

Median of all applicable methods (current price $1992.74). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Industrials median (n=79)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    88
    Strong
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    6
    Poor
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    98
    Strong
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    95
    Strong
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    80
    Strong
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    61
    Decent
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    72
    Strong
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    58
    Decent
0305070100
Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$70.15B
Revenue (TTM)$10.14B
Net income (TTM)$1.22B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$1.66B
CapEx (TTM)$280.17M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$1.38B
Total assets$6.94B
Total liabilities$4.12B
Stockholders' equity$2.82B
Cash & equivalents$1.05B
Shares outstanding35.20M
EPS (basic)$10.52
EPS (diluted)$10.51
P/E ratio (TTM)57.33

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-04-23
Latest period end
2026-04-17
Filing lag
23 days
Missing metrics
1(research_and_development)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.