#18Materials· Copper

FCXStrong Buy

Freeport-McMoRan

$63.01USD

Composite Score66.7Strong

−4

Margin of safety−4%Fair value

Fair value$60.84

Target$96.40

Loss chance33%

Price (1y)

Loading price history…

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what FCX should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Near fair value

Models suggest FCX is priced roughly in line

Today's price

$63.01

Median fair price

$60.84

-3% vs today

Of 4 methods:2 say cheap2 say pricey

EV/EBITDAUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $96.40, about 53% above today
P/E multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $83.38, about 32% above today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $38.30, about 39% below today
Residual IncomeOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $16.50, about 74% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair

$60.84

Margin of safety

-3.6%

Max (ex-outliers)

$96.40

Tangible BVPS

$13.27

Method	Value
Graham (defensive)	skipped
P/E multiples(vs sector peers)	$83.38
P/B multiples(vs sector peers)	$38.30
EV/EBITDA(vs sector peers)	$96.40
Residual Income	$16.50
DCF (2-stage)	skipped

restatement history

Median of all applicable methods (current price $63.01). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Materials median (n=26)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
77
Strong
Value
Price vs fundamentals
49
Weak
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
71
Strong
Momentum
Recent price strength
83
Strong
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
60
Decent
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
65
Decent
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
71
Strong
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
41
Weak

0305070100

Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$90.58B
Revenue (TTM)	$26.42B
Net income (TTM)	$4.75B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$6.05B
CapEx (TTM)	$4.29B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$1.75B
Total assets	$58.84B
Total liabilities	$27.33B
Stockholders' equity	$19.50B
Cash & equivalents	$3.74B
Shares outstanding	1.44B
EPS (basic)	$0.61
EPS (diluted)	$0.61
P/E ratio (TTM)	19.09

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-05-08
Latest period end: 2026-04-30
Filing lag: 8 days
Missing metrics: 3(gross_profit, research_and_development, interest_expense)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.