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#1293USNASDAQ

FANG

Diamondback Energy

$195.11USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Fair value$127.81
Target$197.93
Loss chance64%Moderate-high

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorEnergy
Dividend2.26%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for FANG. Latest close $195.11.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Energy median (n=71)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    29
    Weak
    Energy median (n=71) 53
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    32
    Weak
    Energy median (n=71) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    37
    Weak
    Energy median (n=71) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    75
    Exceptional
    Energy median (n=71) 73
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    25
    Weak
    Energy median (n=71) 47
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    34
    Weak
    Energy median (n=71) 53
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    62
    Strong
    Energy median (n=71) 59
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    72
    Exceptional
    Energy median (n=71) 60
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

Low
Manipulation index
5/100
Composite penalty: −0.50 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)
Fired components (1)
  • Insider sell cluster (Cohen-Malloy-Pomorski 2012)[insider_sell_cluster]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what FANG should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest FANG is trading above fair value
Today's price
$195.11
Median fair price
$127.81
-34% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:2 say fair2 say pricey
  • Graham (defensive)Fair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $197.93, about 1% above today
  • P/B multiplesFair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $190.95, about 2% below today
  • EV/EBITDAOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $64.68, about 67% below today
  • P/E multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $60.30, about 69% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$127.81
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-52.7%
Max (ex-outliers)
$197.93
Tangible BVPS
$135.32
  • Insider-sell cluster

Median of all applicable methods (current price $195.11). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$54.64B
Revenue (TTM)$17.10B
Net income (TTM)$1.52B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$10.14B
CapEx (TTM)N/A
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapExN/A
Total assets$70.22B
Total liabilities$26.23B
Stockholders' equity$37.90B
Cash & equivalents$462.00M
Shares outstanding280.02M
EPS (basic)$5.41
EPS (diluted)$5.41
P/E ratio (TTM)36.04

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-08-05
Latest period end
2026-07-31
Filing lag
70 days
Missing metrics
8(capex, free_cash_flow, gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, interest_expense, accounts_payable, goodwill)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.