#1368USNASDAQ

FANG

Diamondback Energy

$199.80USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Composite Score37.5Weak

−73

Margin of safety−73%Expensive

Fair value$115.21

Target$193.72

Loss chance67%Moderate-high

SizeLarge cap

SectorEnergy

Dividend2.25%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Energy median (n=69)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
26
Weak
Energy median (n=69) 51
Value
Price vs fundamentals
31
Weak
Energy median (n=69) 50
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
50
Average
Energy median (n=69) 51
Momentum
Recent price strength
63
Strong
Energy median (n=69) 56
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
17
Poor
Energy median (n=69) 39
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
28
Weak
Energy median (n=69) 54
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
60
Strong
Energy median (n=69) 59
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
72
Exceptional
Energy median (n=69) 58

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what FANGshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued

Models suggest FANG is trading above fair value

Today's price

$199.80

Median fair price

$115.21

-42% vs today's price

Of 3 methods:2 say fair1 say pricey(1 outlier excluded)

Graham (defensive)Fair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $193.72, about 3% below today
P/B multiplesFair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $185.27, about 7% below today
EV/EBITDAOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $45.16, about 77% below today
P/E multiplesOutlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $11.86 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $115.21
Margin of safety(vs fair value): -73.4%
Max (ex-outliers): $193.72
Tangible BVPS: $129.63

Extreme P/E estimate

Median of all applicable methods (current price $199.80). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$56.21B
Revenue (TTM)	$15.22B
Net income (TTM)	$284.00M
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$8.23B
CapEx (TTM)	N/A
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	N/A
Total assets	$70.08B
Total liabilities	$27.44B
Stockholders' equity	$36.47B
Cash & equivalents	$174.00M
Shares outstanding	281.31M
EPS (basic)	$1.01
EPS (diluted)	$1.01
P/E ratio (TTM)	197.91

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-05-06
Latest period end: 2026-05-01
Filing lag: 76 days
Missing metrics: 7(capex, free_cash_flow, gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, accounts_payable, goodwill)