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#828USNASDAQ

EXC

Exelon

$45.89USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Fair value$45.50
Target$63.37
Loss chance53%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorUtilities
Dividend3.66%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for EXC. Latest close $45.89.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Utilities median (n=59)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    49
    Average
    Utilities median (n=59) 52
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    67
    Strong
    Utilities median (n=59) 47
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    47
    Average
    Utilities median (n=59) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    50
    Average
    Utilities median (n=59) 53
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    16
    Poor
    Utilities median (n=59) 16
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    42
    Average
    Utilities median (n=59) 51
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    28
    Weak
    Utilities median (n=59) 51
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    71
    Exceptional
    Utilities median (n=59) 73
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

1 active
Rank gates
  • Altman financial distress[altman_distress]Altman Z″ below 1.10 — financial-distress zone (Altman 1968).

These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what EXCshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Near fair value
Models suggest EXC is priced roughly in line
Today's price
$45.89
Median fair price
$45.50
-1% vs today's price
Of 5 methods:2 say cheap1 say fair2 say pricey
  • P/B multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $63.37, about 38% above today
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $57.46, about 25% above today
  • EV/EBITDAFair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $45.50, about 1% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $33.55, about 27% below today
  • Residual IncomeOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $25.83, about 44% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$45.50
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-0.9%
Max (ex-outliers)
$63.37
Tangible BVPS
$22.19

Median of all applicable methods (current price $45.89). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$46.96B
Revenue (TTM)$24.79B
Net income (TTM)$2.78B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$6.78B
CapEx (TTM)$8.94B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$-2.16B
Total assets$117.55B
Total liabilities$88.23B
Stockholders' equity$29.32B
Cash & equivalents$713.00M
Shares outstanding1.02B
EPS (basic)$2.72
EPS (diluted)$2.72
P/E ratio (TTM)16.90

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-05-06
Latest period end
2026-03-31
Filing lag
76 days
Missing metrics
6(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, sga_expense, interest_expense, inventory)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.