#16Energy· Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

EOGBuy

EOG Resources

$140.26USD

Composite Score66.8Strong

−16

Margin of safety−16%Overvalued

Fair value$120.51

Target$270.15

Loss chance37%

Price (1y)

Loading price history…

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what EOG should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued

Models suggest EOG is trading above fair value

Today's price

$140.26

Median fair price

$120.51

-14% vs today

Of 5 methods:1 say cheap1 say fair3 say pricey

EV/EBITDAUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $270.15, about 93% above today
P/E multiplesFair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $133.22, about 5% below today
Graham (defensive)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $120.51, about 14% below today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $103.39, about 26% below today
Residual IncomeOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $96.78, about 31% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair

$120.51

Margin of safety

-16.4%

Max (ex-outliers)

$270.15

Tangible BVPS

$58.03

Method	Value
Graham (defensive)	$120.51
P/E multiples(vs sub industry peers)	$133.22
P/B multiples(vs sub industry peers)	$103.39
EV/EBITDA(vs sector peers)	$270.15
Residual Income	$96.78
DCF (2-stage)	skipped

Median of all applicable methods (current price $140.26). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Energy median (n=21)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
69
Decent
Value
Price vs fundamentals
59
Decent
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
62
Decent
Momentum
Recent price strength
75
Strong
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
77
Strong
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
65
Decent
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
62
Decent
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
71
Strong

0305070100

Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$74.71B
Revenue (TTM)	$23.88B
Net income (TTM)	$5.50B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$10.72B
CapEx (TTM)	N/A
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	N/A
Total assets	$53.38B
Total liabilities	N/A
Stockholders' equity	$30.91B
Cash & equivalents	$3.85B
Shares outstanding	532.63M
EPS (basic)	$3.72
EPS (diluted)	$3.70
P/E ratio (TTM)	13.59

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-05-05
Latest period end: 2026-04-28
Filing lag: 11 days
Missing metrics: 9(total_liabilities, capex, free_cash_flow, gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, dividends_paid, goodwill, intangibles_net)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.