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#41USNYSE

EME

Emcor

$760.27USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Fair value$521.75
Target$1,218.13
Loss chance53%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorIndustrials
Dividend0.22%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for EME. Latest close $760.27.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Industrials median (n=257)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    88
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    47
    Average
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    82
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    58
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=257) 56
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    73
    Exceptional
    Industrials median (n=257) 59
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    61
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=257) 49
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    38
    Weak
    Industrials median (n=257) 45
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    56
    Strong
    Industrials median (n=257) 50
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

1 active
Rank gates
  • Sloan accruals — top decile[sloan_accruals_top_decile]Within-sector top decile of accruals / assets (Sloan 1996).

These flags keep the raw composite rank (project Rule 16) but forfeit the entered_top5 badge. Two of them — altman_distress and data_quality_input_corruption — additionally force a cautious recommendation; the others act as Top-5 disqualifiers without dictating the buy/hold/sell label on their own.

Manipulation index
Moderate
20/100
Composite penalty: 2.00 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)

Driven entirely by the rank-gate flag(s) above — no additional annotate-only components fired.

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what EMEshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest EME is trading above fair value
Today's price
$760.27
Median fair price
$521.75
-31% vs today's price
Of 3 methods:2 say cheap1 say pricey(2 outliers excluded)
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $1218.13, about 60% above today
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $984.09, about 29% above today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $521.75, about 31% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $119.50 — likely unreliable
  • Residual IncomeOutlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $75.53 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$521.75
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-45.7%
Max (ex-outliers)
$1218.13
Tangible BVPS
$30.21
  • Goodwill-heavy balance sheet
  • Extreme Graham estimate
  • Extreme Residual-Income estimate

Median of all applicable methods (current price $760.27). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$33.79B
Revenue (TTM)$17.75B
Net income (TTM)$1.34B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$1.19B
CapEx (TTM)$115.33M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$1.08B
Total assets$9.51B
Total liabilities$5.64B
Stockholders' equity$3.87B
Cash & equivalents$916.42M
Shares outstanding44.44M
EPS (basic)$30.10
EPS (diluted)$30.10
P/E ratio (TTM)25.26

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-04-29
Latest period end
2026-04-23
Filing lag
83 days
Missing metrics
3(research_and_development, inventory, short_term_debt)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.