#32USNYSE

DECK

Deckers Brands

$103.31USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Composite Score68.2Strong

−37

Margin of safety−37%Overvalued

Fair value$75.30

Target$139.18

Loss chance44%Neutral

SizeLarge cap

SectorConsumer Discretionary

Dividend—

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Consumer Discretionary median (n=196)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
89
Exceptional
Consumer Discretionary median (n=196) 48
Value
Price vs fundamentals
54
Average
Consumer Discretionary median (n=196) 51
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
69
Strong
Consumer Discretionary median (n=196) 49
Momentum
Recent price strength
45
Average
Consumer Discretionary median (n=196) 44
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
83
Exceptional
Consumer Discretionary median (n=196) 43
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
92
Exceptional
Consumer Discretionary median (n=196) 50
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
42
Average
Consumer Discretionary median (n=196) 47
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
30
Weak
Consumer Discretionary median (n=196) 39

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what DECKshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued

Models suggest DECK is trading above fair value

Today's price

$103.31

Median fair price

$75.30

-27% vs today's price

Of 5 methods:1 say cheap1 say fair3 say pricey

P/E multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $139.18, about 35% above today
DCF (2-stage)Fair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $101.58, about 2% below today
Graham (defensive)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $75.30, about 27% below today
Residual IncomeOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $56.25, about 46% below today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $54.94, about 47% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $75.30
Margin of safety(vs fair value): -37.2%
Max (ex-outliers): $139.18
Tangible BVPS: $17.79

Median of all applicable methods (current price $103.31). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$14.35B
Revenue (TTM)	$5.47B
Net income (TTM)	$1.02B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$1.18B
CapEx (TTM)	$84.62M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$1.10B
Total assets	$3.69B
Total liabilities	N/A
Stockholders' equity	$2.50B
Cash & equivalents	$1.91B
Shares outstanding	138.88M
EPS (basic)	$7.37
EPS (diluted)	$7.37
P/E ratio (TTM)	14.01

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-05-22
Latest period end: 2026-05-01
Filing lag: 60 days
Missing metrics: 8(total_liabilities, research_and_development, depreciation_and_amortization, income_before_tax, dividends_paid, accounts_payable, long_term_debt, ebitda)