#12Consumer Discretionary· Footwear

DECKStrong Buy

Deckers Brands

$93.56USD

Composite Score67.0Strong

−8

Margin of safety−8%Fair value

Fair value$86.47

Target$158.00

Loss chance34%

Price (1y)

Loading price history…

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what DECK should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Near fair value

Models suggest DECK is priced roughly in line

Today's price

$93.56

Median fair price

$86.47

-8% vs today

Of 5 methods:1 say cheap2 say fair2 say pricey

P/E multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $158.00, about 69% above today
P/B multiplesFair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $110.45, about 18% above today
Graham (defensive)Fair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $86.47, about 8% below today
DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $66.06, about 29% below today
Residual IncomeOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $49.83, about 47% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair

$86.47

Margin of safety

-8.2%

Max (ex-outliers)

$158.00

Tangible BVPS

$18.17

Method	Value
Graham (defensive)	$86.47
P/E multiples(vs sector peers)	$158.00
P/B multiples(vs sector peers)	$110.45
EV/EBITDA	skipped
Residual Income	$49.83
DCF (2-stage)	$66.06

Median of all applicable methods (current price $93.56). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Consumer Discretionary median (n=48)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
80
Strong
Value
Price vs fundamentals
69
Decent
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
71
Strong
Momentum
Recent price strength
41
Weak
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
80
Strong
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
87
Strong
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
27
Poor
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
18
Poor

0305070100

Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$13.28B
Revenue (TTM)	$5.37B
Net income (TTM)	$1.04B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$2.18B
CapEx (TTM)	$83.98M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$2.10B
Total assets	$4.10B
Total liabilities	N/A
Stockholders' equity	$2.61B
Cash & equivalents	$2.09B
Shares outstanding	141.95M
EPS (basic)	$6.05
EPS (diluted)	$6.04
P/E ratio (TTM)	12.77

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-02-03
Latest period end: 2026-01-13
Filing lag: 102 days
Missing metrics: 8(total_liabilities, research_and_development, depreciation_and_amortization, income_before_tax, dividends_paid, accounts_payable, long_term_debt, ebitda)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.