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#18USNYSE

CON

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.

$31.78USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Fair value$37.43
Target$57.42
Loss chance25%Moderate-low

Company attributes

SizeMid cap
SectorHealth Care
Dividend0.80%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for CON. Latest close $31.78.

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Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Health Care median (n=166)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    84
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=166) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    64
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=166) 52
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    61
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=166) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    87
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=166) 49
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    40
    Average
    Health Care median (n=166) 57
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    60
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=166) 48
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    63
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=166) 56
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    85
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=166) 46
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what CONshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Near fair value
Models suggest CON is priced roughly in line
Today's price
$31.78
Median fair price
$37.43
+18% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:2 say cheap2 say pricey
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $57.42, about 81% above today
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $53.79, about 69% above today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $21.06, about 34% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $11.78, about 63% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$37.43
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
+15.1%
Max (ex-outliers)
$57.42
Tangible BVPS

Median of all applicable methods (current price $31.78). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$4.07B
Revenue (TTM)$2.23B
Net income (TTM)$184.50M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$288.72M
CapEx (TTM)$77.69M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$211.03M
Total assets$2.89B
Total liabilities$2.44B
Stockholders' equity$424.71M
Cash & equivalents$61.70M
Shares outstanding127.96M
EPS (basic)$1.44
EPS (diluted)$1.44
P/E ratio (TTM)22.04

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-05-07
Latest period end
2026-04-30
Filing lag
75 days
Missing metrics
7(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, interest_expense, inventory, long_term_debt, short_term_debt)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.