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#19USNYSE

CON

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.

$34.51USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Fair value$32.21
Target$57.40
Loss chance32%Moderate-low

Company attributes

SizeMid cap
SectorHealth Care
Dividend0.72%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for CON. Latest close $34.51.

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Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Health Care median (n=163)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    82
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 51
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    68
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=163) 51
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    60
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=163) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    84
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 62
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    45
    Average
    Health Care median (n=163) 56
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    59
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=163) 49
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    53
    Average
    Health Care median (n=163) 62
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    84
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 47
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what CON should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Near fair value
Models suggest CON is priced roughly in line
Today's price
$34.51
Median fair price
$32.21
-7% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:2 say cheap2 say pricey
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $57.40, about 66% above today
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $42.53, about 23% above today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $21.89, about 37% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $12.89, about 63% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$32.21
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-7.1%
Max (ex-outliers)
$57.40
Tangible BVPS

Median of all applicable methods (current price $34.51). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$4.40B
Revenue (TTM)$2.29B
Net income (TTM)$205.60M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$335.55M
CapEx (TTM)$68.13M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$267.42M
Total assets$3.01B
Total liabilities$2.50B
Stockholders' equity$477.10M
Cash & equivalents$158.04M
Shares outstanding127.52M
EPS (basic)$1.61
EPS (diluted)$1.61
P/E ratio (TTM)21.40

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-08-06
Latest period end
2026-07-31
Filing lag
30 days
Missing metrics
7(gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, interest_expense, inventory, long_term_debt, short_term_debt)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.