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#37USNYSEMid-cap

CHE

Chemed Corp.

$524.45USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Fair value$245.23
Target$554.99
Loss chance54%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeMid cap
SectorHealth Care
Dividend0.53%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for CHE. Latest close $524.45.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Health Care median (n=163)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    90
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 51
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    54
    Average
    Health Care median (n=163) 51
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    44
    Average
    Health Care median (n=163) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    77
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 62
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    63
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=163) 56
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    69
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=163) 49
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    70
    Exceptional
    Health Care median (n=163) 62
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    57
    Strong
    Health Care median (n=163) 47
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

Low
Manipulation index
3/100
Composite penalty: 0.30 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)
Fired components (2)
  • Restatement history (10-K/A, 5y)[restatement_history]
  • C-suite unusual selling (Jeng-Metrick-Zeckhauser 2003)[c_suite_unusual_sell]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what CHE should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued
Models suggest CHE is far above estimated fair value
Today's price
$524.45
Median fair price
$245.23
-53% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:2 say fair2 say pricey(2 outliers excluded)
  • P/E multiplesFair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $554.99, about 6% above today
  • EV/EBITDAFair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $483.32, about 8% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $271.53, about 48% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $218.92, about 58% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $41.14 — likely unreliable
  • Residual IncomeOutlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $7.81 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$245.23
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
< −99%
Max (ex-outliers)
$554.99
Tangible BVPS
$4.02
  • Goodwill-heavy balance sheet
  • Extreme Graham estimate
  • Extreme Residual-Income estimate
  • Restatement history
  • C-suite unusual selling

Median of all applicable methods (current price $524.45). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$6.85B
Revenue (TTM)$2.60B
Net income (TTM)$274.99M
Operating cash flow (TTM)$389.95M
CapEx (TTM)$66.35M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$323.61M
Total assets$1.58B
Total liabilities$749.08M
Stockholders' equity$830.51M
Cash & equivalents$40.22M
Shares outstanding13.07M
EPS (basic)$21.04
EPS (diluted)$21.04
P/E ratio (TTM)24.93

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-07-31
Latest period end
2026-06-30
Filing lag
36 days
Missing metrics
2(gross_profit, research_and_development)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.