#379USNASDAQ

AVGO

Broadcom

$386.50USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Composite Score56.4Strong

≤−99

Margin of safety−262%Expensive

Fair value$106.87

Target$301.42

Loss chance59%Neutral

SizeMega cap

SectorInformation Technology

Dividend0.69%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Information Technology median (n=189)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
81
Exceptional
Information Technology median (n=189) 50
Value
Price vs fundamentals
15
Poor
Information Technology median (n=189) 52
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
65
Strong
Information Technology median (n=189) 51
Momentum
Recent price strength
61
Strong
Information Technology median (n=189) 66
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
57
Strong
Information Technology median (n=189) 65
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
68
Strong
Information Technology median (n=189) 49
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
63
Strong
Information Technology median (n=189) 47
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
51
Average
Information Technology median (n=189) 40

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

Low

Manipulation index

5/100

Composite penalty: −0.50 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)

Fired components (1)

Insider sell cluster (Cohen-Malloy-Pomorski 2012)[insider_sell_cluster]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what AVGOshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued

Models suggest AVGO is far above estimated fair value

Today's price

$386.50

Median fair price

$106.87

-72% vs today's price

Of 2 methods:2 say pricey(2 outliers excluded)

P/E multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $301.42, about 22% below today
EV/EBITDAOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $175.81, about 55% below today
DCF (2-stage)Outlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $37.92 — likely unreliable
P/B multiplesOutlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $35.55 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $106.87
Margin of safety(vs fair value): < −99%
Max (ex-outliers): $301.42
Tangible BVPS: —

Extreme P/B estimate
Extreme DCF estimate
Insider-sell cluster

Median of all applicable methods (current price $386.50). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$1.84T
Revenue (TTM)	$75.47B
Net income (TTM)	$29.32B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$33.62B
CapEx (TTM)	$860.00M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$32.76B
Total assets	$179.16B
Total liabilities	$91.47B
Stockholders' equity	$24.94B
Cash & equivalents	$19.63B
Shares outstanding	4.76B
EPS (basic)	$6.16
EPS (diluted)	$6.16
P/E ratio (TTM)	62.72

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-06-09
Latest period end: 2026-05-29
Filing lag: 42 days
Missing metrics: none