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#414USNASDAQ

AVGO

Broadcom

$354.73USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Fair value$139.57
Target$361.00
Loss chance62%Moderate-high

Company attributes

SizeMega cap
SectorInformation Technology
Dividend0.73%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for AVGO. Latest close $354.73.

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Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Information Technology median (n=191)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    87
    Exceptional
    Information Technology median (n=191) 49
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    21
    Poor
    Information Technology median (n=191) 51
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    65
    Strong
    Information Technology median (n=191) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    32
    Weak
    Information Technology median (n=191) 54
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    64
    Strong
    Information Technology median (n=191) 65
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    74
    Exceptional
    Information Technology median (n=191) 50
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    50
    Average
    Information Technology median (n=191) 56
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    47
    Average
    Information Technology median (n=191) 41
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Risk Summary

Low
Manipulation index
3/100
Composite penalty: −0.30 pts (informational; rank uses raw composite)
Fired components (1)
  • Beneish M-score warning band[beneish_high]

Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what AVGO should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued
Models suggest AVGO is far above estimated fair value
Today's price
$354.73
Median fair price
$139.57
-61% vs today's price
Of 2 methods:1 say fair1 say pricey(2 outliers excluded)
  • P/E multiplesFair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $361.00, about 2% above today
  • EV/EBITDAOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $239.29, about 33% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliable — estimates $39.85 — likely unreliable
  • P/B multiplesOutlier
    estimate looks unreliable — estimates $34.13 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$139.57
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
< −99%
Max (ex-outliers)
$361.00
Tangible BVPS
—
  • Extreme P/B estimate
  • Extreme DCF estimate
  • Beneish M-score (warning band)

Median of all applicable methods (current price $354.73). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$1.69T
Revenue (TTM)$89.10B
Net income (TTM)$38.27B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$40.65B
CapEx (TTM)$1.25B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$39.40B
Total assets$188.15B
Total liabilities$88.46B
Stockholders' equity$24.94B
Cash & equivalents$23.98B
Shares outstanding4.77B
EPS (basic)$8.02
EPS (diluted)$8.02
P/E ratio (TTM)44.25

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-09-10
Latest period end
2026-08-28
Filing lag
34 days
Missing metrics
none

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.