#1466USNYSE

APD

Air Products

$304.22USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Composite Score31.9Weak

≤−99

Margin of safety−413%Expensive

Fair value$59.33

Target$157.45

Loss chance72%Moderate-high

SizeLarge cap

SectorMaterials

Dividend2.38%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Materials median (n=77)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
17
Poor
Materials median (n=77) 54
Value
Price vs fundamentals
21
Poor
Materials median (n=77) 52
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
49
Average
Materials median (n=77) 47
Momentum
Recent price strength
54
Average
Materials median (n=77) 43
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
25
Weak
Materials median (n=77) 52
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
24
Poor
Materials median (n=77) 56
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
71
Exceptional
Materials median (n=77) 52
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
60
Strong
Materials median (n=77) 46

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what APD should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Heavily overvalued

Models suggest APD is far above estimated fair value

Today's price

$304.22

Median fair price

$59.33

-80% vs today's price

Of 2 methods:2 say pricey(3 outliers excluded)

P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $157.45, about 48% below today
Graham (defensive)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $104.71, about 66% below today
Residual IncomeOutlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $59.33 — likely unreliable
EV/EBITDAOutlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $35.86 — likely unreliable
P/E multiplesOutlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $0.41 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $59.33
Margin of safety(vs fair value): < −99%
Max (ex-outliers): $157.45
Tangible BVPS: $56.80

Extreme P/E estimate
Extreme EV/EBITDA estimate
Extreme Residual-Income estimate
Majority of methods extreme

Median of all applicable methods (current price $304.22). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$67.75B
Revenue (TTM)	$12.60B
Net income (TTM)	$4.00M
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$4.17B
CapEx (TTM)	$4.87B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$-706.80M
Total assets	$40.45B
Total liabilities	$23.85B
Stockholders' equity	$13.88B
Cash & equivalents	$980.50M
Shares outstanding	222.69M
EPS (basic)	$0.02
EPS (diluted)	$0.02
P/E ratio (TTM)	16936.35

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-07-30
Latest period end: 2026-06-30
Filing lag: 37 days
Missing metrics: 2(gross_profit, accounts_payable)