#4Energy· Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

APAStrong Buy

APA Corporation

$38.98USD

Composite Score69.3Strong

+52

Margin of safety+52%Cheap

Fair value$81.41

Target$165.75

Loss chance12%

Price (1y)

Loading price history…

Recent regulatory events

Going-concern disclosure (10-K)Annotate

Fair price check

5 different valuation methods each estimate what APA should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks undervalued

Models suggest APA is trading below fair value

Today's price

$38.98

Median fair price

$81.41

+109% vs today

Of 5 methods:3 say cheap1 say fair1 say pricey

EV/EBITDAUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $165.75, about 325% above today
Residual IncomeUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $82.63, about 112% above today
P/E multiplesUndervalued
thinks it's a bargain — estimates $81.41, about 109% above today
Graham (defensive)Fair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $46.09, about 18% above today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $32.54, about 17% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair

$81.41

Margin of safety

+52.1%

Max (ex-outliers)

$165.75

Tangible BVPS

$18.26

Method	Value
Graham (defensive)	$46.09
P/E multiples(vs sub industry peers)	$81.41
P/B multiples(vs sub industry peers)	$32.54
EV/EBITDA(vs sector peers)	$165.75
Residual Income	$82.63
DCF (2-stage)	skipped

Median of all applicable methods (current price $38.98). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Energy median (n=21)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
80
Strong
Value
Price vs fundamentals
74
Strong
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
56
Decent
Momentum
Recent price strength
86
Strong
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
40
Weak
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
60
Decent
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
65
Decent
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
56
Decent

0305070100

Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$13.78B
Revenue (TTM)	N/A
Net income (TTM)	$2.13B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$4.00B
CapEx (TTM)	N/A
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	N/A
Total assets	$18.08B
Total liabilities	N/A
Stockholders' equity	$6.46B
Cash & equivalents	$293.00M
Shares outstanding	353.47M
EPS (basic)	$1.26
EPS (diluted)	$1.26
P/E ratio (TTM)	6.47

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-05-07
Latest period end: 2026-04-30
Filing lag: 9 days
Missing metrics: 9(revenue, total_liabilities, capex, free_cash_flow, gross_profit, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, income_tax_expense, intangibles_net)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.