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#17Information Technology· Application Software

ADBEStrong Buy

Adobe Inc.

$247.60USD
67
Composite Score66.7Strong
+45
Margin of safety+45%Undervalued
Fair value$447.27
Target$750.48
Loss chance16%

Price (1y)

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Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what ADBE should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks undervalued
Models suggest ADBE is trading below fair value
Today's price
$247.60
Median fair price
$447.27
+81% vs today
Of 4 methods:2 say cheap1 say fair1 say pricey
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $750.48, about 203% above today
  • EV/EBITDAUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargain — estimates $657.75, about 166% above today
  • DCF (2-stage)Fair
    thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $236.80, about 4% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensive — estimates $161.33, about 35% below today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$447.27
Margin of safety
+44.6%
Max (ex-outliers)
$750.48
Tangible BVPS
—
MethodValue
Graham (defensive)skipped
P/E multiples(vs sub industry peers)$750.48
P/B multiples(vs sub industry peers)$161.33
EV/EBITDA(vs sub industry peers)$657.75
Residual Incomeskipped
DCF (2-stage)$236.80

Median of all applicable methods (current price $247.60). Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Pillar breakdown

8 dimensions, each scored 0–100 against the universe

Information Technology median (n=73)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    86
    Strong
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    81
    Strong
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    66
    Decent
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    11
    Poor
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    59
    Decent
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    87
    Strong
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    63
    Decent
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    22
    Poor
0305070100
Strong (70+)Decent (50–70)Weak (30–50)Poor (<30)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$100.08B
Revenue (TTM)$24.45B
Net income (TTM)$7.21B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$10.51B
CapEx (TTM)$190.00M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$10.32B
Total assets$29.70B
Total liabilities$18.27B
Stockholders' equity$11.43B
Cash & equivalents$6.33B
Shares outstanding404.20M
EPS (basic)$4.60
EPS (diluted)$4.60
P/E ratio (TTM)13.88

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-03-25
Latest period end
2026-03-20
Filing lag
52 days
Missing metrics
3(research_and_development, dividends_paid, inventory)

Phase 3c — composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars land in Phases 5-6; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.