Back to ranking
#136USNASDAQ

ACGL

Arch Capital Group

$99.83USD

Data as of 2026-09-05

Fair value$132.02
Target$145.28
Loss chance25%Moderate-low

Company attributes

SizeLarge cap
SectorFinancials
Dividend
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for ACGL. Latest close $99.83.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Financials median (n=257)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    60
    Strong
    Financials median (n=257) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    70
    Exceptional
    Financials median (n=257) 52
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    80
    Exceptional
    Financials median (n=257) 50
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    54
    Average
    Financials median (n=257) 63
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    55
    Strong
    Financials median (n=257) 55
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    54
    Average
    Financials median (n=257) 51
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    54
    Average
    Financials median (n=257) 56
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    72
    Exceptional
    Financials median (n=257) 63
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

4 different valuation methods each estimate what ACGL should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks undervalued
Models suggest ACGL is trading below fair value
Today's price
$99.83
Median fair price
$132.02
+32% vs today's price
Of 4 methods:3 say cheap1 say fair
  • P/E multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $145.28, about 46% above today
  • P/B multiplesUndervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $132.47, about 33% above today
  • Graham (defensive)Undervalued
    thinks it's a bargainestimates $131.57, about 32% above today
  • Residual IncomeFair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $115.85, about 16% above today

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$132.02
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
+24.4%
Max (ex-outliers)
$145.28
Tangible BVPS
$67.08

Median of all applicable methods (current price $99.83). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$34.06B
Revenue (TTM)$19.23B
Net income (TTM)$4.69B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$6.10B
CapEx (TTM)$45.00M
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$6.05B
Total assets$85.18B
Total liabilities$61.15B
Stockholders' equity$24.03B
Cash & equivalents$1.11B
Shares outstanding341.23M
EPS (basic)$13.75
EPS (diluted)$13.75
P/E ratio (TTM)7.26

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-08-04
Latest period end
2026-07-30
Filing lag
32 days
Missing metrics
16(gross_profit, operating_income, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, depreciation_and_amortization, income_before_tax, dividends_paid, current_assets, current_liabilities, inventory, accounts_receivable, accounts_payable, long_term_debt, short_term_debt, ebitda, property_plant_equipment)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.