ACGL
Arch Capital Group
Data as of 2026-07-21
Company attributes
Price
Interactive 5-year price history chart for ACGL. Latest close $100.55.
Pillar breakdown
0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)
- QualityProfit margins & asset efficiency67StrongFinancials median (n=258) 50
- ValuePrice vs fundamentals70ExceptionalFinancials median (n=258) 51
- GrowthRevenue & earnings trajectory82ExceptionalFinancials median (n=258) 50
- MomentumRecent price strength46AverageFinancials median (n=258) 57
- HealthBalance sheet & solvency55StrongFinancials median (n=258) 55
- ProfitabilityROE, ROA, ROIC58StrongFinancials median (n=258) 51
- TechnicalTrend & volatility signals61StrongFinancials median (n=258) 59
- RiskVolatility & drawdown profile74ExceptionalFinancials median (n=258) 61
Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).
Risk Summary
Low- Accruals momentum (Δ TATA > 0.05 over 3y)[accruals_momentum_high]
Rolls up Phase 4.5 earnings-manipulation defenses (Sloan · Beneish · Dechow · REM · restatement · late-filing · earnings- quality time-series) into a single 0-100 risk index. The soft composite penalty (max 10 pts) is informational only — the ranking uses the raw composite score per project Rule 16.
Fair price check
4 different valuation methods each estimate what ACGLshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.
- P/E multiplesUndervaluedthinks it's a bargain — estimates $205.28, about 104% above today
- P/B multiplesUndervaluedthinks it's a bargain — estimates $136.19, about 35% above today
- Graham (defensive)Undervaluedthinks it's a bargain — estimates $130.47, about 30% above today
- Residual IncomeFairthinks it's fairly priced — estimates $113.93, about 13% above today
How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.
Fair price ensemble
- Median fair
- $133.33
- Margin of safety(vs fair value)
- +24.6%
- Max (ex-outliers)
- $205.28
- Tangible BVPS
- $65.96
- Accruals momentum
Median of all applicable methods (current price $100.55). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.
Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.
Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above
Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $35.13B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $19.78B |
| Net income (TTM) | $6.88B |
| Operating cash flow (TTM) | $5.90B |
| CapEx (TTM) | $43.00M |
| Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx | $5.86B |
| Total assets | $81.45B |
| Total liabilities | $57.26B |
| Stockholders' equity | $24.19B |
| Cash & equivalents | $914.00M |
| Shares outstanding | 349.39M |
| EPS (basic) | $19.70 |
| EPS (diluted) | $19.70 |
| P/E ratio (TTM) | 5.10 |
TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).
Data quality
- Latest filed date
- 2026-05-05
- Latest period end
- 2026-05-01
- Filing lag
- 77 days
- Missing metrics
- 15(gross_profit, operating_income, cost_of_revenue, research_and_development, depreciation_and_amortization, dividends_paid, current_assets, current_liabilities, inventory, accounts_receivable, accounts_payable, long_term_debt, short_term_debt, ebitda, property_plant_equipment)
Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.