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#62USNASDAQ

AAPL

Apple Inc.

$327.74USD

Data as of 2026-07-21

Fair value$223.98
Target$342.37
Loss chance49%Neutral

Company attributes

SizeMega cap
SectorInformation Technology
Dividend0.33%
TypeCommon stock

Price

Interactive 5-year price history chart for AAPL. Latest close $327.74.

Loading price history…

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Information Technology median (n=189)
  • Quality
    Profit margins & asset efficiency
    94
    Exceptional
    Information Technology median (n=189) 50
  • Value
    Price vs fundamentals
    34
    Weak
    Information Technology median (n=189) 52
  • Growth
    Revenue & earnings trajectory
    55
    Strong
    Information Technology median (n=189) 51
  • Momentum
    Recent price strength
    79
    Exceptional
    Information Technology median (n=189) 66
  • Health
    Balance sheet & solvency
    44
    Average
    Information Technology median (n=189) 65
  • Profitability
    ROE, ROA, ROIC
    82
    Exceptional
    Information Technology median (n=189) 49
  • Technical
    Trend & volatility signals
    66
    Strong
    Information Technology median (n=189) 47
  • Risk
    Volatility & drawdown profile
    76
    Exceptional
    Information Technology median (n=189) 40
025405570100
Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what AAPLshould be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued
Models suggest AAPL is trading above fair value
Today's price
$327.74
Median fair price
$223.98
-32% vs today's price
Of 5 methods:3 say fair2 say pricey(1 outlier excluded)
  • Residual IncomeFair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $342.37, about 4% above today
  • P/E multiplesFair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $336.78, about 3% above today
  • EV/EBITDAFair
    thinks it's fairly pricedestimates $323.92, about 1% below today
  • P/B multiplesOvervalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $124.04, about 62% below today
  • DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
    thinks it's expensiveestimates $84.56, about 74% below today
  • Graham (defensive)Outlier
    estimate looks unreliableestimates $27.41 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair
$223.98
Margin of safety(vs fair value)
-46.3%
Max (ex-outliers)
$342.37
Tangible BVPS
$5.09
  • Extreme Graham estimate

Median of all applicable methods (current price $327.74). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

MetricValue
Market cap$4.81T
Revenue (TTM)$451.44B
Net income (TTM)$122.58B
Operating cash flow (TTM)$140.22B
CapEx (TTM)$11.05B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx$129.17B
Total assets$371.08B
Total liabilities$264.59B
Stockholders' equity$106.49B
Cash & equivalents$45.57B
Shares outstanding14.69B
EPS (basic)$8.35
EPS (diluted)$8.35
P/E ratio (TTM)39.27

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date
2026-05-01
Latest period end
2026-04-17
Filing lag
81 days
Missing metrics
1(interest_expense)

Composite is the 8-pillar weighted score over quality, value, growth, momentum, health, profitability, technical, and risk. Sentiment + ML pillars are reserved for a later phase; until then their weight redistributes pro-rata. Fair price is the median of 6 valuation methods (Graham, P/E / P/B / EV-EBITDA multiples, RIM, DCF) with outliers above 5× current price excluded from the max. Risk-overlay flags annotate only — they suppress the entered-top-5 badge but do not modify the composite.