#93USNASDAQ

AAPL

Apple Inc.

$340.97USD

Data as of 2026-10-14

Composite Score65.2Strong

−78

Margin of safety−78%Expensive

Fair value$191.62

Target$351.04

Loss chance53%Neutral

SizeMega cap

SectorInformation Technology

Dividend0.32%

TypeCommon stock

Price

Pillar breakdown

0–100 percentile rank against the current universe (sector-relative for Quality / Value / Growth / Profitability)

Information Technology median (n=191)

Quality
Profit margins & asset efficiency
95
Exceptional
Information Technology median (n=191) 49
Value
Price vs fundamentals
32
Weak
Information Technology median (n=191) 51
Growth
Revenue & earnings trajectory
55
Strong
Information Technology median (n=191) 51
Momentum
Recent price strength
82
Exceptional
Information Technology median (n=191) 54
Health
Balance sheet & solvency
42
Average
Information Technology median (n=191) 65
Profitability
ROE, ROA, ROIC
82
Exceptional
Information Technology median (n=191) 50
Technical
Trend & volatility signals
57
Strong
Information Technology median (n=191) 56
Risk
Volatility & drawdown profile
76
Exceptional
Information Technology median (n=191) 41

025405570100

Exceptional (70+)Strong (55–70)Average (40–55)Weak (25–40)Poor (<25)

Pillars not shown: Sentiment, ML (Phase 5+).

Fair price check

6 different valuation methods each estimate what AAPL should be worth, then we compare to today's price.

Looks overvalued

Models suggest AAPL is trading above fair value

Today's price

$340.97

Median fair price

$191.62

-44% vs today's price

Of 5 methods:1 say fair4 say pricey(1 outlier excluded)

Residual IncomeFair
thinks it's fairly priced — estimates $351.04, about 3% above today
P/E multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $294.10, about 14% below today
EV/EBITDAOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $274.28, about 20% below today
P/B multiplesOvervalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $108.95, about 68% below today
DCF (2-stage)Overvalued
thinks it's expensive — estimates $84.53, about 75% below today
Graham (defensive)Outlier
estimate looks unreliable — estimates $27.76 — likely unreliable

How to read this: “Cheap” = method's fair price is at least 20% above today. “Fair” = within ±10–20%. “Pricey” = at least 10% below today. Outliers (values more than 5× or less than 0.2× today's price) are excluded.

Fair price ensemble

Median fair: $191.62
Margin of safety(vs fair value): -77.9%
Max (ex-outliers): $351.04
Tangible BVPS: $5.22

Extreme Graham estimate

Median of all applicable methods (current price $340.97). Per-method estimates + each method’s cheap/fair/pricey read are in the Fair price check above. Outliers above 5× or below 0.2× current price are excluded from the max but kept in the median. See methodology for the 6-method ensemble + 7 defenses.

Defense layer. Flags mark elevated risk, never confirmed fraud. This model cannot catch every manipulation and decays after publication — weigh it against its stated error rates.

Supporting dataRaw fundamentals & data-quality provenance behind the scores above

Raw fundamentals (SEC EDGAR)

Metric	Value
Market cap	$4.98T
Revenue (TTM)	$466.82B
Net income (TTM)	$128.93B
Operating cash flow (TTM)	$146.72B
CapEx (TTM)	$10.04B
Free cash flow (TTM)CFO − CapEx	$136.68B
Total assets	$383.27B
Total liabilities	$275.75B
Stockholders' equity	$107.52B
Cash & equivalents	$39.54B
Shares outstanding	14.59B
EPS (basic)	$8.83
EPS (diluted)	$8.83
P/E ratio (TTM)	38.60

TTM = trailing twelve months. Balance sheet items are point-in-time (latest filing).

Data quality

Latest filed date: 2026-07-31
Latest period end: 2026-07-17
Filing lag: 75 days
Missing metrics: 1(interest_expense)